← Smart money
0x7b67…1b07
SharpEdge
+3.1pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
7% @ 3.5¢
Brier
0.022
Resolved
289
Avg size
$117
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Other | 33% (1/3) | -20% | 3 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +94% | 2 |
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -20%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +94%
Track record
25% hit · 2/8| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m? | No | $58 | 75.0¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $17.0k | 46.8¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $1.8k | 0.8¢ | Lost |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | $1.0k | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m? | Yes | $28 | 2.7¢ | Lost |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Rajasthan Royals | $11 | 53.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | $1.3k | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | $12.6k | 0.5¢ | Lost |
- No$58 @ 75.0¢
- No$17.0k @ 46.8¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 0.8¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 0.1¢
- Yes$28 @ 2.7¢
- Rajasthan Royals$11 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 0.1¢
- No$12.6k @ 0.5¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢