0x7b58…eb2b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7b5887dcffa32af1ec155a8835c48b4e948aeb2b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.0pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

30% @ 27.8¢

Brier

0.081

Resolved

2032

Avg size

$40

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (143/266)	+14%	266
Politics	64% (32/50)	+63%	50
Sports	40% (8/20)	-30%	20
Geopolitics	47% (8/17)	-33%	17
Tech	63% (5/8)	+1%	8
Crypto	60% (3/5)	+99%	5
Economy	100% (1/1)	+85%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other266 bets
Hit rate
54% (143/266)
ROI
+14%
Politics50 bets
Hit rate
64% (32/50)
ROI
+63%
Sports20 bets
Hit rate
40% (8/20)
ROI
-30%
Geopolitics17 bets
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
ROI
-33%
Tech8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+1%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+99%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+85%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

54% hit · 200/368

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	$72	24.0¢	Lost
GPT ads by December 31?	No	$347	87.6¢	Won
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?	Yes	$5	84.9¢	Won
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$344	83.1¢	Won
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	Yes	$24	58.1¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?	Yes	$295	59.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$155	62.0¢	Won
Eagles vs. Giants	Giants	$5	23.0¢	Won
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$40	34.9¢	Lost
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?	Yes	$10	41.7¢	Lost
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$282	80.7¢	Won
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$32	74.0¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$30	76.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$4	74.0¢	Won
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	$20	0.5¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$133	53.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.8k	71.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$871	21.2¢	Lost
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	Yes	$119	79.7¢	Lost
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	Yes	$15	22.0¢	Won
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$382	78.8¢	Won
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	No	$252	74.0¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$188	75.0¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$35	56.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	Yes	$20	79.0¢	Lost
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$64	32.0¢	Won
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	Yes	$352	88.1¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	No	$249	83.0¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?	Yes	$954	86.7¢	Won
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Humbert	$10	61.0¢	Lost
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$15	34.6¢	Won
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$258	73.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$37	37.0¢	Lost
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	$120	69.3¢	Won
Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?	No	$110	55.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$190	38.0¢	Won
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$10	55.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$114	28.5¢	Lost
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$2.2k	68.1¢	Won
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	Yes	$2	1.4¢	Lost
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?	No	$120	66.7¢	Lost
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?	No	$10	64.0¢	Lost
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$31	10.3¢	Lost
Will October 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	$3	4.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	$6	89.0¢	Won
Brewers vs. Padres	Padres	$2	52.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	$320	32.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$1.4k	67.2¢	Won

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Lost
Yes$72 @ 24.0¢
GPT ads by December 31?Won
No$347 @ 87.6¢
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Won
Yes$5 @ 84.9¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
Yes$344 @ 83.1¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Won
Yes$24 @ 58.1¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?Lost
Yes$295 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$155 @ 62.0¢
Eagles vs. GiantsWon
Giants$5 @ 23.0¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$40 @ 34.9¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 41.7¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$282 @ 80.7¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Makhachev$32 @ 74.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$30 @ 76.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$4 @ 74.0¢
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.5¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$133 @ 53.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.8k @ 71.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$871 @ 21.2¢
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Lost
Yes$119 @ 79.7¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Won
Yes$15 @ 22.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$382 @ 78.8¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Lost
No$252 @ 74.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Won
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$188 @ 75.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$35 @ 56.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Lost
Yes$20 @ 79.0¢
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
Yes$64 @ 32.0¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Won
Yes$352 @ 88.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Won
No$249 @ 83.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Won
Yes$954 @ 86.7¢
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaLost
Humbert$10 @ 61.0¢
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
Yes$15 @ 34.6¢
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
Yes$258 @ 73.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Won
Yes$120 @ 69.3¢
Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?Won
No$110 @ 55.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$190 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Won
Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$114 @ 28.5¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$2.2k @ 68.1¢
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
No$120 @ 66.7¢
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Lost
No$10 @ 64.0¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$31 @ 10.3¢
Will October 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 89.0¢
Brewers vs. PadresWon
Padres$2 @ 52.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Lost
Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$1.4k @ 67.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$272	68.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$169	26.0¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$272 @ 68.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Crypto
Yes$169 @ 26.0¢