← Smart money
0x7b58…eb2b
SharpEdge
+2.8pp
ROI
+46%
Win rate
8% @ 5.5¢
Brier
0.029
Resolved
1176
Avg size
$12
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (6/18) | +2% | 18 |
| Politics | 73% (8/11) | +97% | 11 |
| Sports | 0% (0/7) | -100% | 7 |
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | +19% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +126% | 2 |
- Other18 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (6/18)
- ROI
- +2%
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 73% (8/11)
- ROI
- +97%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/7)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +19%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +126%
Track record
42% hit · 18/43- Yes$148 @ 85.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 71.0¢
- Yes$871 @ 21.2¢
- Yes$954 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
- No$102 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$90 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$661 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$688 @ 52.9¢
- Yes$276 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$266 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$120 @ 0.6¢
- No$676 @ 64.4¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 32.9¢
- Yes$40 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$42 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$551 @ 60.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
- Predators$90 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$383 @ 76.6¢
- Yes$216 @ 30.9¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$47 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 22.9¢
- No$1 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$72 @ 18.0¢
- No$380 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$161 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 0.4¢
- No$117 @ 58.6¢
- Yes$279 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$308 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 10.7¢
- No$1.8k @ 83.5¢
- No$1.4k @ 67.2¢
- No$165 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$741 @ 82.3¢
- No$430 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$515 @ 73.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Sports | No | $1.5k | 96.3¢ |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $687 | 59.8¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $500 | 82.0¢ |
| Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $400 | 90.3¢ |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $370 | 49.3¢ |
| Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Sports | No | $250 | 92.8¢ |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $169 | 26.0¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $161 | 14.0¢ |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $79 | 58.7¢ |
- No$1.5k @ 96.3¢
- Yes$687 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$500 @ 82.0¢
- No$400 @ 90.3¢
- Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$370 @ 49.3¢
- No$250 @ 92.8¢
- Yes$169 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$161 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 58.7¢