← Smart money
0x7b24…ef34
SharpEdge
+9.9pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
72% @ 62.6¢
Brier
0.163
Resolved
149
Avg size
$27
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 71% (42/59) | +10% | 59 |
| Other | 80% (28/35) | +30% | 35 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | -20% | 2 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics59 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (42/59)
- ROI
- +10%
- Other35 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (28/35)
- ROI
- +30%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -20%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
73% hit · 71/97- No$33 @ 74.2¢
- No$27 @ 45.0¢
- No$8 @ 83.0¢
- No$9 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 47.0¢
- No$136 @ 67.0¢
- No$52 @ 73.9¢
- No$53 @ 56.4¢
- No$63 @ 83.3¢
- No$16 @ 79.0¢
- No$13 @ 43.6¢
- Yes$42 @ 65.0¢
- No$65 @ 64.0¢
- No$19 @ 19.3¢
- No$43 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.4¢
- No$12 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 77.0¢
- No$25 @ 62.0¢
- No$16 @ 87.8¢
- Yes$97 @ 77.0¢
- No$9 @ 30.0¢
- No$27 @ 29.6¢
- Yes$51 @ 85.0¢
- No$20 @ 80.0¢
- No$18 @ 54.3¢
- No$29 @ 57.0¢
- No$45 @ 75.0¢
- No$34 @ 85.3¢
- No$62 @ 50.8¢
- No$9 @ 30.0¢
- No$23 @ 57.0¢
- No$35 @ 67.6¢
- No$26 @ 87.0¢
- No$27 @ 68.0¢
- No$79 @ 78.0¢
- No$68 @ 61.0¢
- No$42 @ 87.0¢
- No$38 @ 35.0¢
- No$32 @ 64.0¢
- No$35 @ 53.2¢
- No$5 @ 10.0¢
- No$9 @ 89.0¢
- Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?LostNo$16 @ 35.0¢
- No$30 @ 75.0¢
- No$156 @ 79.1¢
- No$28 @ 56.0¢
- No$163 @ 76.6¢
- No$25 @ 61.0¢
- No$30 @ 65.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $366 | 91.4¢ |
| Will Trump say "Brazil" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | Politics | No | $38 | 76.0¢ |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | Politics | No | $38 | 75.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | Politics | No | $25 | 42.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | Politics | Yes | $17 | 29.0¢ |
- Yes$366 @ 91.4¢
- No$38 @ 76.0¢
- No$38 @ 75.0¢
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?PoliticsNo$25 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 29.0¢