0x7a9c…97a4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7a9cc3ebd0286262acb3e07eb551f880846297a4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.6pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

8% @ 2.2¢

Brier

0.075

Resolved

490

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	0% (0/35)	-100%	35
Crypto	12% (2/17)	+506%	17
Politics	0% (0/10)	-100%	10
Economy	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other35 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/35)
ROI
-100%
Crypto17 bets
Hit rate
12% (2/17)
ROI
+506%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

3% hit · 2/69

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	1.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?	No	$2	2.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	$91	6.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?	No	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$58	1.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	No	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	$25	7.1¢	Lost
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	$780	0.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 6?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?	Yes	$14	5.7¢	Lost
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$28	0.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	$72	68.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?	Yes	$7	0.5¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	Yes	$11	1.4¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	$20	9.0¢	Lost
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.9¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in April?	Yes	$31	3.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	$29	5.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	No	$9	0.9¢	Lost
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$67	4.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	$21	2.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 16?	No	$25	3.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 18?	No	$37	3.7¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$67	13.5¢	Lost
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	4.2¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$287	4.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?	Yes	$23	2.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 19?	No	$53	3.3¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	Yes	$4	3.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29?	No	$21	2.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 17?	No	$6	1.3¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	$30	0.1¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?	Yes	$9	0.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	No	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $50 in April?	Yes	$15	3.3¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$86	14.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	No	$9	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28?	No	$78	0.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?	No	$48	1.3¢	Won
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	Yes	$68	3.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 16?	No	$83	2.7¢	Lost
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	Yes	$6	5.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 27?	No	$51	3.1¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$64	6.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	Yes	$58	1.3¢	Lost

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?Lost
No$2 @ 2.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Lost
Yes$91 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?Lost
No$2 @ 0.8¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$58 @ 1.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?Lost
No$1 @ 1.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Lost
Yes$25 @ 7.1¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Lost
Yes$780 @ 0.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 6?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?Lost
Yes$14 @ 5.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$28 @ 0.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Won
Yes$72 @ 68.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.5¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Lost
Yes$20 @ 9.0¢
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in April?Lost
Yes$31 @ 3.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?Lost
Yes$29 @ 5.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?Lost
No$9 @ 0.9¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$67 @ 4.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?Lost
Yes$21 @ 2.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 16?Lost
No$25 @ 3.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 18?Lost
No$37 @ 3.7¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$67 @ 13.5¢
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$287 @ 4.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Lost
Yes$23 @ 2.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 19?Lost
No$53 @ 3.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29?Lost
No$21 @ 2.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 17?Lost
No$6 @ 1.3¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Lost
Yes$30 @ 0.1¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?Lost
No$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Solana dip to $50 in April?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$86 @ 14.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?Lost
No$9 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28?Lost
No$78 @ 0.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?Won
No$48 @ 1.3¢
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?Lost
Yes$68 @ 3.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 16?Lost
No$83 @ 2.7¢
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 27?Lost
No$51 @ 3.1¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$64 @ 6.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?Lost
Yes$58 @ 1.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	15.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	9.0¢
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	1.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Politics	Yes	$1	0.7¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1	8.5¢

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 8.5¢