0x7a41…2562

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7a4126074ece8dffeb2178f68d4ff0e8bf5a2562
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.8pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

58% @ 52.5¢

Brier

0.129

Resolved

528

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (100/180)	+11%	180
Science	78% (82/105)	+5%	105
Sports	67% (42/63)	+6%	63
Politics	100% (5/5)	+38%	5
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other180 bets
Hit rate
56% (100/180)
ROI
+11%
Science105 bets
Hit rate
78% (82/105)
ROI
+5%
Sports63 bets
Hit rate
67% (42/63)
ROI
+6%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+38%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

65% hit · 229/354

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 29?	No	$30	91.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 29?	No	$7	98.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?	No	$30	76.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 29?	No	$1	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 29?	No	$50	98.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 29?	No	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 29?	No	$5	98.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	$1	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 29?	No	$47	93.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 29?	No	$5	90.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 29?	No	$50	88.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 29?	No	$5	96.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 29?	Yes	$1	37.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 13?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	Yes	$5	56.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 22?	No	$5	89.0¢	Won
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$4	44.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?	Yes	$14	87.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	$10	19.8¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$7	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23?	No	$5	76.0¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$7	65.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 13?	No	$6	31.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 13?	Yes	$51	73.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 28?	Yes	$9	46.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 7?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 25?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$7	67.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?	Yes	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$6	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 25?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$8	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?	No	$10	80.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 6?	Yes	$10	76.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?	No	$1	88.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 25?	No	$1	77.0¢	Won
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$6	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 21?	No	$5	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	$10	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?	No	$5	51.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 10?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	$6	85.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22?	Yes	$5	64.4¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 24?	No	$4	75.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on June 7?	No	$18	78.8¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	$7	15.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 11?	No	$7	85.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 22?	No	$10	85.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 29?Lost
No$30 @ 91.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 29?Won
No$7 @ 98.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?Won
No$30 @ 76.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 29?Won
No$1 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 29?Won
No$50 @ 98.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 29?Won
No$40 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 29?Won
No$5 @ 98.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 29?Won
No$47 @ 93.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 29?Won
No$5 @ 90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 29?Won
No$50 @ 88.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 29?Won
No$5 @ 96.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 29?Won
Yes$1 @ 37.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 13?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?Lost
Yes$5 @ 56.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 22?Won
No$5 @ 89.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$4 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?Won
Yes$14 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.8¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$7 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23?Won
No$5 @ 76.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$7 @ 65.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 13?Lost
No$6 @ 31.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 13?Won
Yes$51 @ 73.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 28?Won
Yes$9 @ 46.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 7?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$7 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?Won
Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$6 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$8 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?Won
No$10 @ 80.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 6?Won
Yes$10 @ 76.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?Lost
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 25?Won
No$1 @ 77.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 21?Won
No$5 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?Won
Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?Won
No$5 @ 51.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?Won
Yes$6 @ 85.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22?Won
Yes$5 @ 64.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 24?Won
No$4 @ 75.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on June 7?Won
No$18 @ 78.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$7 @ 15.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 11?Won
No$7 @ 85.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 22?Won
No$10 @ 85.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$391	92.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	Science	No	$100	99.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 1?	Science	No	$97	94.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 30?	Science	No	$50	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 30?	Science	No	$30	96.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on September 30?	Science	No	$28	92.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$20	49.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?	Science	No	$20	99.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$10	68.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 30?	Science	No	$10	62.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1?	Science	Yes	$8	11.4¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$2	85.0¢

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Geopolitics
No$391 @ 92.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?Science
No$100 @ 99.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 1?Science
No$97 @ 94.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 30?Science
No$50 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 30?Science
No$30 @ 96.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on September 30?Science
No$28 @ 92.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 30?Science
Yes$20 @ 49.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?Science
No$20 @ 99.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 30?Science
Yes$10 @ 68.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 30?Science
No$10 @ 62.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1?Science
Yes$8 @ 11.4¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$2 @ 85.0¢