← Smart money
0x7a3c…977c
ProfitableEdge
+15.1pp
ROI
+93%
Win rate
48% @ 33.1¢
Brier
0.243
Resolved
347
Avg size
$167
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 59% (16/27) | +144% | 27 |
| Politics | 33% (6/18) | +40% | 18 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -3% | 4 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other27 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (16/27)
- ROI
- +144%
- Politics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (6/18)
- ROI
- +40%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -3%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
46% hit · 23/50- No$1.4k @ 15.2¢
- Yes$77 @ 13.1¢
- No$78 @ 71.9¢
- No$122 @ 72.4¢
- No$193 @ 78.8¢
- No$42 @ 42.0¢
- No$16 @ 36.8¢
- No$11 @ 31.4¢
- No$40 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 60.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 61.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 8.8¢
- No$2.1k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$8.3k @ 28.4¢
- Yes$198 @ 1.3¢
- No$2.1k @ 20.2¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 24.8¢
- No$1.5k @ 38.3¢
- Yes$7.0k @ 41.0¢
- Yes$861 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 22.8¢
- Yes$18 @ 40.0¢
- No$423 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$950 @ 13.4¢
- Yes$99 @ 24.4¢
- Yes$504 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 28.4¢
- No$407 @ 12.2¢
- No$41 @ 31.1¢
- No$626 @ 24.4¢
- No$286 @ 23.9¢
- Yes$294 @ 63.6¢
- No$100 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 24.0¢
- No$67 @ 27.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 84.9¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 41.5¢
- No$372 @ 21.6¢
- No$2.5k @ 83.7¢
- Yes$449 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$43 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 44.9¢
- Yes$687 @ 76.3¢
- No$1.3k @ 0.6¢
- No$200 @ 65.8¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 32.7¢
- Yes$47 @ 25.4¢
- No$4.0k @ 84.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $477 | 49.8¢ |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $402 | 8.0¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | Politics | No | $343 | 10.0¢ |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $205 | 5.7¢ |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $67 | 14.5¢ |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $57 | 58.9¢ |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $33 | 22.1¢ |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $16 | 63.8¢ |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $12 | 60.0¢ |
| Israel military action against Yemen by October 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $12 | 12.0¢ |
- Yes$477 @ 49.8¢
- Yes$402 @ 8.0¢
- No$343 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$205 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$67 @ 14.5¢
- Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?GeopoliticsYes$57 @ 58.9¢
- Yes$33 @ 22.1¢
- Yes$16 @ 63.8¢
- Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?GeopoliticsNo$12 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 12.0¢