0x7a0d…53f7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7a0d03a990598542fe18a187c22a9e944bc653f7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+3.8pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

23% @ 19.2¢

Brier

0.165

Resolved

1607

Avg size

$24

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	27% (59/217)	+22%	217
Politics	27% (13/49)	-37%	49
Geopolitics	20% (4/20)	+97%	20
Sports	38% (6/16)	-30%	16
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other217 bets
Hit rate
27% (59/217)
ROI
+22%
Politics49 bets
Hit rate
27% (13/49)
ROI
-37%
Geopolitics20 bets
Hit rate
20% (4/20)
ROI
+97%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
ROI
-30%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

27% hit · 82/303

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$93	17.5¢	Lost
NYC mayoral special election in 2024?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" on Call Her Daddy?	Yes	$2	28.4¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?	Yes	$8	6.0¢	Lost
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$1.2k	42.6¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$11	3.4¢	Lost
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$29	12.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13	7.8¢	Lost
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Chiefs	$35	1.4¢	Lost
Israel declares war on Iran in October?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$592	76.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$115	13.9¢	Lost
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	63.0¢	Won
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	$83	10.5¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$39	39.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$103	34.5¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	$392	13.9¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?	Yes	$40	2.9¢	Lost
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	No	$53	10.5¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$4	37.0¢	Lost
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?	Yes	$17	33.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "fracking" 3 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?	Yes	$0	46.0¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?	Yes	$37	23.8¢	Won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?	Yes	$134	32.0¢	Lost
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?	Yes	$3	9.3¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	$4	3.5¢	Lost
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Lost
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?	Yes	$300	41.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$50	40.0¢	Won
Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	$25	50.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	$299	4.1¢	Lost
Will Trump win 3 swing states?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?	Yes	$3	2.7¢	Lost
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$8	69.9¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$125	24.5¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	Yes	$14	34.0¢	Won
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?	No	$83	67.3¢	Lost
Israel military response against Iran in October?	Yes	$0	71.0¢	Won
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$352	6.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	$157	16.2¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" 3 or more times on Call Her Daddy?	No	$0	18.0¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?	Yes	$46	9.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$7	23.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?	Yes	$4	65.0¢	Lost

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$93 @ 17.5¢
NYC mayoral special election in 2024?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" on Call Her Daddy?Lost
Yes$2 @ 28.4¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Lost
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Lost
Yes$8 @ 6.0¢
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 42.6¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$11 @ 3.4¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Lost
Yes$29 @ 12.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$13 @ 7.8¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerLost
Chiefs$35 @ 1.4¢
Israel declares war on Iran in October?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$592 @ 76.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Lost
Yes$115 @ 13.9¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
No$83 @ 10.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
Yes$39 @ 39.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$103 @ 34.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Lost
No$392 @ 13.9¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Lost
Yes$40 @ 2.9¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?Lost
No$53 @ 10.5¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$4 @ 37.0¢
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?Won
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Lost
Yes$17 @ 33.0¢
Will Trump say "fracking" 3 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?Lost
Yes$0 @ 46.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Won
Yes$37 @ 23.8¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?Lost
Yes$134 @ 32.0¢
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.3¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Lost
No$4 @ 3.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Won
Yes$300 @ 41.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$50 @ 40.0¢
Penguins vs. FlyersLost
Penguins$25 @ 50.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Lost
No$299 @ 4.1¢
Will Trump win 3 swing states?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Lost
Yes$8 @ 69.9¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Lost
Yes$125 @ 24.5¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Won
Yes$14 @ 34.0¢
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?Lost
No$83 @ 67.3¢
Israel military response against Iran in October?Won
Yes$0 @ 71.0¢
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$352 @ 6.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$157 @ 16.2¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" 3 or more times on Call Her Daddy?Lost
No$0 @ 18.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Lost
Yes$46 @ 9.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$7 @ 23.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Lost
Yes$4 @ 65.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$149	45.0¢
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$60	6.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Politics	Yes	$21	46.6¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$16	52.0¢
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	Yes	$14	7.0¢
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$3	0.7¢
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2	1.6¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
No$149 @ 45.0¢
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Politics
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?Politics
Yes$21 @ 46.6¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
No$16 @ 52.0¢
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2 @ 1.6¢