0x79d4…6d24

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x79d4baa7ae8542bb617bc673f0ac2101db986d24
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.4pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

64% @ 59.6¢

Brier

0.187

Resolved

1946

Avg size

$190

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (203/335)	+7%	335
Sports	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Politics	67% (2/3)	-33%	3
Crypto	33% (1/3)	+262%	3
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other335 bets
Hit rate
61% (203/335)
ROI
+7%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-33%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+262%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

60% hit · 206/345

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?	No	$2.4k	85.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hispanic" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?	No	$48	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$500	51.0¢	Won
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	$1.2k	73.0¢	Won
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?	No	$26	31.0¢	Won
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	Yes	$2.0k	80.2¢	Won
Will Chris Dixon attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?	No	$3	1.0¢	Lost
South Korean President impeached by Friday?	No	$422	84.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Tip" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?	Yes	$58	32.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "John McGuire" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?	Yes	$278	85.2¢	Won
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$833	65.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?	No	$11	34.0¢	Won
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	Yes	$102	29.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 75m-100m views on day 1?	No	$495	73.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?	No	$534	66.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?	No	$300	78.0¢	Won
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	$419	82.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "drill baby drill" during his North Carolina speech?	Yes	$76	74.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25	7.6¢	Lost
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?	No	$3	72.0¢	Lost
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?	No	$100	32.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Frack" of "Fracking" 8 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?	No	$216	53.8¢	Lost
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	$58	20.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?	No	$100	25.0¢	Lost
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	Yes	$2.0k	44.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?	Yes	$87	35.0¢	Lost
Debate Bingo - 1	Yes	$5	46.0¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$4	0.4¢	Lost
Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?	No	$83	83.0¢	Won
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	No	$67	20.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?	Yes	$519	62.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?	Yes	$37	74.0¢	Won
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	No	$418	84.8¢	Won
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?	Yes	$15	75.0¢	Won
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$7	3.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "god" 2 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?	No	$69	14.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?	No	$100	13.5¢	Lost
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$2.3k	86.3¢	Won
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	$13	87.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Nazi" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?	Yes	$88	45.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "VAT" or "Value added tax" during tariff event on April 2?	Yes	$13	50.0¢	Won
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?	Yes	$51	80.0¢	Won
Will Shane Gillis say "retarded" on Saturday Night Live?	No	$372	86.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?	No	$17	39.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Starlink" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?	Yes	$65	36.9¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$1.9k	75.4¢	Won
Canada Post strike ends in 2024?	No	$169	38.7¢	Lost
Canada Post strike ends in 2024?	Yes	$380	59.9¢	Won

Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?Lost
No$2.4k @ 85.0¢
Will Trump say "Hispanic" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Won
No$48 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Won
Yes$500 @ 51.0¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 73.0¢
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Won
No$26 @ 31.0¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 80.2¢
Will Chris Dixon attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?Lost
No$3 @ 1.0¢
South Korean President impeached by Friday?Won
No$422 @ 84.3¢
Will Trump say "Tip" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Won
Yes$58 @ 32.0¢
Will Trump say "John McGuire" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?Won
Yes$278 @ 85.2¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
No$833 @ 65.3¢
Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?Won
No$11 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Lost
Yes$102 @ 29.0¢
Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 75m-100m views on day 1?Won
No$495 @ 73.2¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Lost
No$534 @ 66.2¢
Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Won
No$300 @ 78.0¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Won
No$419 @ 82.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "drill baby drill" during his North Carolina speech?Lost
Yes$76 @ 74.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$25 @ 7.6¢
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Lost
No$3 @ 72.0¢
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?Lost
No$100 @ 32.1¢
Will Trump say "Frack" of "Fracking" 8 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?Lost
No$216 @ 53.8¢
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$58 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?Lost
No$100 @ 25.0¢
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 44.8¢
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?Lost
Yes$87 @ 35.0¢
Debate Bingo - 1Lost
Yes$5 @ 46.0¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
No$4 @ 0.4¢
Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?Won
No$83 @ 83.0¢
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Lost
No$67 @ 20.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Lost
Yes$519 @ 62.1¢
Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?Won
Yes$37 @ 74.0¢
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? Won
No$418 @ 84.8¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?Won
Yes$15 @ 75.0¢
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.7¢
Will Trump say "god" 2 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?Lost
No$69 @ 14.0¢
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?Lost
No$100 @ 13.5¢
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
No$2.3k @ 86.3¢
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Won
No$13 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Nazi" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?Lost
Yes$88 @ 45.2¢
Will Trump say "VAT" or "Value added tax" during tariff event on April 2?Won
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Won
Yes$51 @ 80.0¢
Will Shane Gillis say "retarded" on Saturday Night Live?Won
No$372 @ 86.7¢
Will Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Lost
No$17 @ 39.2¢
Will Trump say "Starlink" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?Won
Yes$65 @ 36.9¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 75.4¢
Canada Post strike ends in 2024?Lost
No$169 @ 38.7¢
Canada Post strike ends in 2024?Won
Yes$380 @ 59.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$995	97.0¢
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$765	25.7¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Politics	Yes	$528	87.4¢
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$304	47.8¢
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$32	76.0¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Sports	Yes	$32	69.8¢
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$25	84.0¢
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$3	64.0¢

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Politics
Yes$995 @ 97.0¢
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$765 @ 25.7¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Politics
Yes$528 @ 87.4¢
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
No$304 @ 47.8¢
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$32 @ 76.0¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Sports
Yes$32 @ 69.8¢
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?Geopolitics
No$25 @ 84.0¢
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?Crypto
No$3 @ 64.0¢