← Smart money
0x79cb…cf01
SharpEdge
+7.6pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
68% @ 60.8¢
Brier
0.185
Resolved
1180
Avg size
$46
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30% (104/349) | +9% | 349 |
| Science | 91% (97/107) | -2% | 107 |
| Sports | 16% (9/56) | -27% | 56 |
| Politics | 40% (4/10) | -20% | 10 |
| Economy | 33% (3/9) | -35% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 20% (1/5) | -28% | 5 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | -3% | 2 |
- Other349 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (104/349)
- ROI
- +9%
- Science107 bets
- Hit rate
- 91% (97/107)
- ROI
- -2%
- Sports56 bets
- Hit rate
- 16% (9/56)
- ROI
- -27%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (4/10)
- ROI
- -20%
- Economy9 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (3/9)
- ROI
- -35%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -28%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -3%
Track record
41% hit · 219/538- Down$3 @ 34.0¢
- Up$3 @ 53.0¢
- Up$8 @ 83.0¢
- Down$5 @ 48.0¢
- Up$3 @ 26.0¢
- Up$5 @ 54.0¢
- Up$1 @ 14.0¢
- Down$5 @ 53.0¢
- Down$8 @ 76.0¢
- Down$3 @ 28.0¢
- Down$3 @ 30.0¢
- Down$3 @ 23.0¢
- Down$3 @ 61.0¢
- Down$5 @ 51.0¢
- Down$2 @ 19.0¢
- Up$4 @ 37.0¢
- Up$2 @ 19.0¢
- Up$4 @ 40.0¢
- Up$2 @ 21.0¢
- Up$3 @ 34.0¢
- Down$2 @ 24.0¢
- Down$1 @ 27.0¢
- Down$4 @ 39.0¢
- Up$2 @ 19.0¢
- Up$2 @ 20.0¢
- Down$3 @ 27.0¢
- Down$4 @ 40.0¢
- Down$4 @ 40.0¢
- Down$2 @ 19.0¢
- Down$4 @ 43.0¢
- Down$3 @ 33.0¢
- Down$3 @ 50.0¢
- Down$7 @ 66.0¢
- Up$2 @ 18.0¢
- Down$4 @ 42.0¢
- Up$7 @ 69.0¢
- Down$4 @ 32.0¢
- Up$3 @ 61.0¢
- Down$3 @ 25.0¢
- Up$7 @ 74.0¢
- Up$1 @ 14.0¢
- Up$5 @ 50.0¢
- Down$2 @ 48.0¢
- Down$1 @ 24.0¢
- Down$3 @ 27.0¢
- Up$2 @ 19.0¢
- Down$3 @ 29.0¢
- Up$4 @ 42.0¢
- Down$6 @ 56.0¢
- Down$2 @ 21.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Down$87 @ 87.0¢
- No$77 @ 77.0¢
- Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?GeopoliticsYes$75 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$75 @ 14.3¢
- Down$73 @ 49.0¢
- Up$70 @ 47.0¢
- Up$60 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 14.3¢
- Down$51 @ 51.0¢
- Up$44 @ 48.0¢
- Down$34 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$32 @ 14.3¢
- No$31 @ 81.0¢
- Up$29 @ 29.0¢
- Down$28 @ 82.0¢
- Down$27 @ 53.0¢
- Up$25 @ 30.0¢
- Down$24 @ 37.0¢
- Up$23 @ 41.0¢
- Down$22 @ 56.0¢
- Up$22 @ 34.0¢
- Up$21 @ 47.0¢
- Up$20 @ 55.0¢
- Up$20 @ 48.0¢
- Down$18 @ 18.0¢
- Down$14 @ 45.0¢
- Up$14 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 8.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 8.3¢