0x79bf…bcdf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x79bfe69e715f54fca27308e6044e4f0c157cbcdf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+13.9pp

ROI

+56%

Win rate

53% @ 39.0¢

Brier

0.237

Resolved

340

Avg size

$49

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (13/28)	+34%	28
Politics	48% (10/21)	+25%	21
Sports	50% (2/4)	+126%	4
Geopolitics	75% (3/4)	+51%	4
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other28 bets
Hit rate
46% (13/28)
ROI
+34%
Politics21 bets
Hit rate
48% (10/21)
ROI
+25%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+126%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+51%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

48% hit · 28/58

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$349	58.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 16?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$112	58.7¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$68	9.8¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?	Yes	$1.3k	56.6¢	Won
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?	No	$110	4.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Pope" in May?	Yes	$33	85.2¢	Won
Will Trump Leave China on May 18?	No	$9	86.5¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	No	$150	54.6¢	Lost
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?	No	$116	6.0¢	Lost
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	$12	3.8¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$27	7.7¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$15	72.0¢	Won
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	$98	69.4¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?	No	$137	64.7¢	Lost
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$386	54.2¢	Lost
Will Trump Leave China after May 18?	No	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$479	73.5¢	Won
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	$32	69.6¢	Won
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$872	51.5¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	$261	26.4¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	No	$34	85.9¢	Won
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	$58	16.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?	No	$4	71.0¢	Won
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	$26	5.1¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	No	$225	37.5¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$962	58.6¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$932	9.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?	Yes	$290	6.2¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?	No	$142	64.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	48.5¢	Won
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	Yes	$56	2.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 16?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?	No	$178	58.1¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$110	55.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$2.4k	38.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	$110	43.1¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?	No	$8	75.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$203	26.7¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	$208	69.5¢	Won
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	$270	89.9¢	Won
Drake Iceman sculpture Date Revealed by April 24?	No	$19	3.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" this week?	Yes	$62	72.6¢	Won
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?	Yes	$688	65.8¢	Won
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	$365	55.3¢	Won
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	$63	0.6¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	86.6¢	Won
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	$300	75.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	Yes	$28	5.1¢	Lost

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$349 @ 58.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
Yes$112 @ 58.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$68 @ 9.8¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 56.6¢
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Lost
No$110 @ 4.3¢
Will Trump say "Pope" in May?Won
Yes$33 @ 85.2¢
Will Trump Leave China on May 18?Won
No$9 @ 86.5¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Lost
No$150 @ 54.6¢
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Lost
No$116 @ 6.0¢
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$12 @ 3.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$27 @ 7.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$15 @ 72.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Won
Yes$98 @ 69.4¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Lost
No$137 @ 64.7¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$386 @ 54.2¢
Will Trump Leave China after May 18?Won
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$479 @ 73.5¢
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Won
Yes$32 @ 69.6¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$872 @ 51.5¢
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Won
Yes$261 @ 26.4¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Won
No$34 @ 85.9¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Lost
Yes$58 @ 16.5¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Won
No$4 @ 71.0¢
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Lost
Yes$26 @ 5.1¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Won
No$225 @ 37.5¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$962 @ 58.6¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$932 @ 9.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$290 @ 6.2¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Lost
No$142 @ 64.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 48.5¢
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Lost
Yes$56 @ 2.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 16?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Lost
No$178 @ 58.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$110 @ 55.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 38.5¢
Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)Lost
Yes$110 @ 43.1¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Won
No$8 @ 75.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$203 @ 26.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Won
No$208 @ 69.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Won
No$270 @ 89.9¢
Drake Iceman sculpture Date Revealed by April 24?Lost
No$19 @ 3.3¢
Will Trump say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" this week?Won
Yes$62 @ 72.6¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Won
Yes$688 @ 65.8¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Won
No$365 @ 55.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Lost
Yes$63 @ 0.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 86.6¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Won
Yes$300 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?Lost
Yes$28 @ 5.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$3.0k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$3.0k	50.0¢
SBF released from custody in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$64	4.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	21.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$3.0k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$3.0k @ 50.0¢
SBF released from custody in 2026?Politics
Yes$64 @ 4.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 21.0¢