0x79bf…bcdf

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other54 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (26/54)

  ROI

  -15%

• Politics23 bets

  Hit rate

  39% (9/23)

  ROI

  -23%

• Sports6 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (3/6)

  ROI

  +83%

• Geopolitics6 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (5/6)

  ROI

  +77%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Lululemon say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?Lost
  No$12 @ 6.0¢
• Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta DreamLost
  Golden State Valkyries$751 @ 39.9¢
• Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?Lost
  Yes$39 @ 14.7¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$349 @ 58.0¢
• Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 36.6¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 16?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
• Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?Won
  Yes$11 @ 53.0¢
• Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Won
  No$78 @ 52.3¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
  Yes$112 @ 58.7¢
• Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by July 31?Lost
  No$36 @ 52.7¢
• Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?Lost
  Yes$202 @ 13.9¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Lost
  No$3.5k @ 52.1¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  Yes$68 @ 9.8¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 56.6¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Won
  No$16 @ 77.5¢
• Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Lost
  No$110 @ 4.3¢
• Will Trump say "Pope" in May?Won
  Yes$33 @ 85.2¢
• Will Trump Leave China on May 18?Won
  No$9 @ 86.5¢
• Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?Won
  No$15 @ 74.0¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Lost
  No$150 @ 54.6¢
• World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Lost
  No$116 @ 6.0¢
• Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$12 @ 3.8¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 7.7¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
  No$15 @ 72.0¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Won
  Yes$98 @ 69.4¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Lost
  No$137 @ 64.7¢
• Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
  Yes$386 @ 54.2¢
• Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?Won
  Yes$84 @ 84.0¢
• Will Trump Leave China after May 18?Won
  No$9 @ 85.0¢
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$479 @ 73.5¢
• Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Lost
  No$639 @ 57.5¢
• Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Won
  Yes$32 @ 69.6¢
• Will Trump say "UFC" during June 24 Rally?Won
  No$4 @ 59.0¢
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$872 @ 51.5¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?Won
  Yes$90 @ 74.4¢
• Will Trump say "Middle East" during Speech to the Nation?Won
  No$12 @ 35.5¢
• Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Won
  Yes$261 @ 26.4¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Won
  No$34 @ 85.9¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Lost
  Yes$58 @ 16.5¢
• Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Won
  No$4 @ 71.0¢
• Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 5.1¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Won
  No$225 @ 37.5¢
• Will there be 6+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Lost
  Yes$65 @ 29.4¢
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
  No$962 @ 58.6¢
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
  Yes$932 @ 9.4¢
• Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Lost
  No$3.2k @ 41.4¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$290 @ 6.2¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Lost
  No$142 @ 64.0¢
• Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?Lost
  No$13 @ 2.3¢

Current positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$3.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$856 @ 11.2¢
• Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta DreamSports
  Golden State Valkyries$751 @ 39.9¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$707 @ 14.1¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$220 @ 22.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$170 @ 17.0¢
• Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Politics
  No$136 @ 57.8¢
• Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?Politics
  Yes$128 @ 23.4¢
• SBF released from custody in 2026?Politics
  Yes$64 @ 4.0¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$62 @ 0.6¢
• Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?Politics
  Yes$39 @ 14.7¢
• Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$34 @ 70.0¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?Politics
  No$25 @ 89.0¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?Politics
  No$19 @ 17.0¢
• Will Lululemon say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?—
  No$12 @ 6.0¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 21.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1 @ 49.0¢