← Smart money
0x7975…d3f7
SharpEdge
+7.2pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
55% @ 48.0¢
Brier
0.205
Resolved
1400
Avg size
$14
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 56% (406/719) | +15% | 719 |
| Politics | 50% (9/18) | -15% | 18 |
| Sports | 57% (4/7) | -15% | 7 |
| Culture | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
- Other719 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (406/719)
- ROI
- +15%
- Politics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (9/18)
- ROI
- -15%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- -15%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
56% hit · 419/747- No$7 @ 14.0¢
- No$16 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$63 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
- No$32 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
- No$5 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 70.0¢
- No$9 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 60.0¢
- No$25 @ 50.0¢
- Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?LostYes$12 @ 80.0¢
- No$19 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 14.0¢
- No$20 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
- No$39 @ 66.0¢
- No$26 @ 65.0¢
- Will Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?LostYes$26 @ 64.0¢
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?LostNo$19 @ 72.0¢
- No$0 @ 6.0¢
- No$56 @ 69.7¢
- Yes$25 @ 70.0¢
- No$3 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 84.0¢
- No$16 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 70.0¢
- No$25 @ 51.0¢
- No$6 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
- No$7 @ 69.0¢
- No$10 @ 69.0¢
- No$18 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 70.0¢
- No$13 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 66.0¢
- No$16 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
- No$26 @ 64.4¢
- No$53 @ 69.7¢
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" or "Venezuela" 15+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?LostYes$7 @ 34.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | Politics | No | $39 | 49.9¢ |
| Will Trump say "Electric Vehicle" or "EV" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | Politics | No | $33 | 44.8¢ |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | Politics | No | $24 | 36.7¢ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $13 | 13.0¢ |
- No$39 @ 49.9¢
- No$33 @ 44.8¢
- Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?PoliticsNo$24 @ 36.7¢
- Yes$13 @ 13.0¢