0x78cc…c56e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x78cc6987a25d57e367fd4eb19df27612393bc56e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+16.8pp

ROI

+63%

Win rate

64% @ 46.8¢

Brier

0.280

Resolved

Avg size

$193

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (5/10)	+73%	10
Politics	40% (2/5)	-20%	5
Sports	50% (1/2)	-11%	2

Other10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
+73%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-20%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-11%

Track record

47% hit · 8/17

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$480	14.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$638	81.3¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	$3.2k	59.9¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	$1.4k	13.3¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	$50	58.6¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$37	59.6¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$11	56.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	$104	35.5¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$364	67.5¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	2.4¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	$140	81.8¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3.8k	14.2¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	$25	41.9¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	$370	71.7¢	Won
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$29	39.0¢	Lost
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	0.1¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$72	68.0¢	Won

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$480 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$638 @ 81.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Won
No$3.2k @ 59.9¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Won
No$1.4k @ 13.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Lost
Yes$50 @ 58.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$37 @ 59.6¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$11 @ 56.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Won
Yes$104 @ 35.5¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$364 @ 67.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?Won
No$140 @ 81.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$3.8k @ 14.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Lost
Yes$25 @ 41.9¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Won
No$370 @ 71.7¢
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$29 @ 39.0¢
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.1¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$72 @ 68.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$1.4k	80.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$700	74.0¢

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
No$1.4k @ 80.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$700 @ 74.0¢