0x78bf…ea68

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x78bfbb8892e5afee4f40080775764c5109f0ea68
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+25.5pp

ROI

+54%

Win rate

82% @ 56.2¢

Brier

0.119

Resolved

Avg size

$257

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (12/25)	+54%	25
Crypto	100% (3/3)	+79%	3

Other25 bets
Hit rate
48% (12/25)
ROI
+54%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+79%

Track record

54% hit · 15/28

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$11	0.4¢	Lost
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	$7	86.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?	No	$12	82.0¢	Won
Liverpool wins the Premier League?	Yes	$2	49.4¢	Won
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1	5.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?	Yes	$9	60.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	80k	$6	81.8¢	Won
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$11	0.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	68.8¢	Won
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?	No	$3	63.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$15	72.0¢	Won
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$8	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	100k	$5	39.0¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high by December 31?	No	$11	67.0¢	Won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Lost
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	$126	89.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$11	34.0¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$130	41.8¢	Lost
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?	Yes	$1	16.4¢	Lost
Will Braga win the UEFA Europa League?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$17.7k	64.1¢	Won
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	Yes	$0	3.9¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$122	87.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	No	$7	59.6¢	Won
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?	Yes	$0	9.0¢	Lost

Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.4¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Won
Yes$7 @ 86.0¢
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?Won
No$12 @ 82.0¢
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Won
Yes$2 @ 49.4¢
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?Lost
Yes$9 @ 60.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?Won
80k$6 @ 81.8¢
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$19 @ 68.8¢
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?Won
No$3 @ 63.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Won
Yes$8 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?Lost
100k$5 @ 39.0¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31?Won
No$11 @ 67.0¢
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
No$126 @ 89.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$11 @ 34.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$130 @ 41.8¢
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.4¢
Will Braga win the UEFA Europa League?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$17.7k @ 64.1¢
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.9¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
Yes$122 @ 87.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Won
No$7 @ 59.6¢
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?Lost
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$0 @ 9.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$18	60.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$15	50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$15	99.7¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$15	98.0¢

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$18 @ 60.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$15 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$15 @ 99.7¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$15 @ 98.0¢