← Smart money
0x78bd…6f69
SharpEdge
+7.3pp
ROI
+39%
Win rate
42% @ 34.5¢
Brier
0.191
Resolved
469
Avg size
$120
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 48% (43/89) | +40% | 89 |
| Other | 32% (12/37) | +82% | 37 |
| Politics | 25% (1/4) | -77% | 4 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +186% | 1 |
- Sports89 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (43/89)
- ROI
- +40%
- Other37 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (12/37)
- ROI
- +82%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -77%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +186%
Track record
44% hit · 57/131- Yes$1.9k @ 27.0¢
- No$204 @ 29.0¢
- No$116 @ 79.1¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 68.8¢
- No$217 @ 49.6¢
- Yes$55 @ 72.1¢
- No$52 @ 35.0¢
- Under$4 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$491 @ 42.4¢
- Over$2.5k @ 44.9¢
- No$86 @ 14.4¢
- Yes$712 @ 50.3¢
- No$264 @ 88.0¢
- No$30 @ 8.0¢
- No$99 @ 10.0¢
- No$289 @ 53.0¢
- No$55 @ 3.0¢
- No$34 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$102 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 80.9¢
- No$8 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.6¢
- No$561 @ 35.1¢
- No$396 @ 27.1¢
- Under$175 @ 42.7¢
- No$50 @ 41.2¢
- Yes$70 @ 54.4¢
- No$70 @ 39.0¢
- No$150 @ 24.8¢
- Under$1.8k @ 60.5¢
- No$322 @ 74.5¢
- No$562 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
- No$80 @ 53.0¢
- No$86 @ 45.3¢
- Over$305 @ 36.7¢
- No$625 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$1000 @ 56.0¢
- No$17 @ 8.0¢
- No$148 @ 35.7¢
- No$45 @ 7.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 34.6¢
- No$430 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$147 @ 81.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 27.5¢
- No$143 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$249 @ 51.6¢
- Under$503 @ 66.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $158 | 41.6¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $99 | 39.6¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $76 | 63.6¢ |
| Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Sports | Yes | $72 | 35.5¢ |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $53 | 35.0¢ |
| Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | Tech | Yes | $51 | 17.0¢ |
| Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | Tech | No | $44 | 74.0¢ |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Tech | No | $44 | 40.0¢ |
| Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? | Sports | No | $13 | 46.5¢ |
- No$158 @ 41.6¢
- Yes$99 @ 39.6¢
- No$76 @ 63.6¢
- Yes$72 @ 35.5¢
- Yes$53 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 17.0¢
- No$44 @ 74.0¢
- No$44 @ 40.0¢
- No$13 @ 46.5¢