0x7879…822a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7879fc0d6a6f21d892c8b80d51dde576608b822a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.2pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

58% @ 48.9¢

Brier

0.176

Resolved

692

Avg size

$70

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (16/39)	+37%	39
Politics	37% (7/19)	-16%	19
Sports	50% (6/12)	+103%	12
Tech	44% (4/9)	-47%	9
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Culture	100% (1/1)	+72%	1

Other39 bets
Hit rate
41% (16/39)
ROI
+37%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
37% (7/19)
ROI
-16%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
+103%
Tech9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
-47%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+72%

Track record

41% hit · 34/83

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	57.4¢	Won
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$10	23.4¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	Yes	$5	12.4¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$254	74.2¢	Won
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$112	56.0¢	Won
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$19	72.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$204	39.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$51	63.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$30	76.7¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$1.5k	44.7¢	Lost
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	$33	58.1¢	Won
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	$9	2.5¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$6.7k	82.9¢	Lost
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?	Yes	$91	15.1¢	Lost
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$300	75.0¢	Won
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Lost
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?	Yes	$57	7.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	$20	79.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$325	65.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$269	28.0¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	83.0¢	Won
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	$23	41.0¢	Lost
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	$400	81.3¢	Won
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$2.7k	75.3¢	Won
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	$1.2k	52.6¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	$1.2k	82.0¢	Lost
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Won
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$842	77.2¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$1.6k	80.8¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$125	16.0¢	Lost
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	$4	4.2¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$30	61.0¢	Won
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$21	0.9¢	Lost
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$21	42.3¢	Lost
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?	Yes	$5.7k	72.7¢	Won
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	$386	56.8¢	Won
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$53	14.6¢	Lost
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$4	3.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	$1	10.7¢	Lost
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?	Yes	$15	11.4¢	Lost
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	$255	85.8¢	Lost
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$4.1k	23.4¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$31	6.8¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	No	$250	83.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$400	52.1¢	Won
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$647	32.7¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	$1.5k	81.6¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost

Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 57.4¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$10 @ 23.4¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Lost
Yes$5 @ 12.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$254 @ 74.2¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$112 @ 56.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$19 @ 72.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$204 @ 39.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$51 @ 63.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$30 @ 76.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 44.7¢
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?Won
Yes$33 @ 58.1¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$6.7k @ 82.9¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?Lost
Yes$91 @ 15.1¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
No$300 @ 75.0¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?Lost
Yes$57 @ 7.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Lost
Yes$20 @ 79.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$325 @ 65.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$269 @ 28.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 83.0¢
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)Lost
Mateusz Rebecki$23 @ 41.0¢
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?Won
Yes$400 @ 81.3¢
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 75.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 52.6¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Lost
No$1.2k @ 82.0¢
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Won
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
Yes$842 @ 77.2¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
No$1.6k @ 80.8¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$125 @ 16.0¢
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.2¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$30 @ 61.0¢
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Lost
Yes$21 @ 0.9¢
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
No$21 @ 42.3¢
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?Won
Yes$5.7k @ 72.7¢
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai IndiansLost
Mumbai Indians$2 @ 11.0¢
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Won
Yes$386 @ 56.8¢
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$53 @ 14.6¢
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.9¢
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.7¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?Lost
Yes$15 @ 11.4¢
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Lost
No$255 @ 85.8¢
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 23.4¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
Yes$31 @ 6.8¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Won
No$250 @ 83.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$400 @ 52.1¢
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$647 @ 32.7¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 81.6¢
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$4.9k	93.6¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	93.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	53.0¢
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$613	55.6¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$611	47.6¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$492	66.0¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?	Politics	Yes	$375	54.9¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?	Politics	Yes	$257	26.1¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Politics	Yes	$235	70.3¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Sports	No	$200	39.1¢
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$199	35.2¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$142	17.9¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?	Politics	Yes	$140	18.4¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?	Politics	Yes	$112	8.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$102	51.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?	Politics	Yes	$91	15.1¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?	Politics	Yes	$56	7.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$26	4.4¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$26	37.9¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Politics	Yes	$14	1.5¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$12	16.9¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$7	10.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	9.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$5	22.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5	11.8¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$5	11.3¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$5	3.5¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	7.2¢
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$2	6.9¢
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	5.8¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$4.9k @ 93.6¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 93.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 53.0¢
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics
Yes$613 @ 55.6¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$611 @ 47.6¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$492 @ 66.0¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?Politics
Yes$375 @ 54.9¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Politics
Yes$257 @ 26.1¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics
Yes$235 @ 70.3¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports
No$200 @ 39.1¢
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Politics
Yes$199 @ 35.2¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$142 @ 17.9¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?Politics
Yes$140 @ 18.4¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?Politics
Yes$112 @ 8.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$102 @ 51.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?Politics
Yes$91 @ 15.1¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?Politics
Yes$56 @ 7.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$26 @ 4.4¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$26 @ 37.9¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?Politics
Yes$14 @ 1.5¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$12 @ 16.9¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$7 @ 10.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 9.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics
Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$5 @ 11.8¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$5 @ 11.3¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Politics
Yes$5 @ 3.5¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 7.2¢
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$2 @ 6.9¢
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 5.8¢