← Smart money
0x77aa…8d9c
ProfitableEdge
+21.4pp
ROI
+78%
Win rate
39% @ 17.9¢
Brier
0.249
Resolved
117
Avg size
$36
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 44% (11/25) | +224% | 25 |
| Politics | 0% (0/7) | -100% | 7 |
| Crypto | 67% (4/6) | +189% | 6 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other25 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (11/25)
- ROI
- +224%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/7)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +189%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
37% hit · 15/41- Yes$101 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
- PARIVISION$5 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$50 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
- No$55 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
- No$20 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 40.6¢
- Yes$24 @ 7.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 12.5¢
- No$10 @ 12.0¢
- No$52 @ 9.8¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$145 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$55 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 13.9¢
- No$20 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
- No$42 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
- No$13 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 5.7¢
- No$149 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$510 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 0.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $300 | 12.0¢ |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Other | Yes | $120 | 15.0¢ |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Culture | Yes | $17 | 15.5¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $10 | 75.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $10 | 63.0¢ |
- Yes$300 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$120 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 63.0¢