← Smart money
0x77a1…de3d
ProfitableEdge
+10.7pp
ROI
+19%
Win rate
62% @ 51.7¢
Brier
0.222
Resolved
498
Avg size
$474
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (63/132) | +18% | 132 |
| Politics | 60% (9/15) | +47% | 15 |
| Sports | 57% (4/7) | +27% | 7 |
| Economy | 25% (1/4) | -49% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +54% | 2 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Other132 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (63/132)
- ROI
- +18%
- Politics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (9/15)
- ROI
- +47%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +27%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -49%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +54%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
50% hit · 80/161- Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?WonNo$1.8k @ 60.7¢
- Yes$555 @ 78.1¢
- Yes$31 @ 4.1¢
- No$136 @ 48.3¢
- Yes$580 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 79.8¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 78.8¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 70.3¢
- No$1.5k @ 83.2¢
- No$400 @ 88.6¢
- Yes$77 @ 2.0¢
- No$760 @ 70.6¢
- No$488 @ 80.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 83.7¢
- No$67 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 12.4¢
- No$400 @ 69.9¢
- France$223 @ 61.0¢
- Paraguay$879 @ 66.8¢
- No$72 @ 79.8¢
- Yes$32 @ 38.5¢
- Yes$33 @ 48.7¢
- Yes$335 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 59.9¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 52.8¢
- Yes$800 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$111 @ 76.3¢
- Over$148 @ 8.1¢
- No$15 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 69.6¢
- No$1000 @ 87.1¢
- Yes$340 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 63.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
- No$1.5k @ 66.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$9 @ 3.6¢
- No$17 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$143 @ 68.1¢
- Yes$808 @ 70.0¢
- No$200 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 72.4¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 67.2¢
- Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?LostYes$133 @ 52.2¢
- No$161 @ 56.5¢
- Yes$203 @ 59.6¢
- No$359 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$200 @ 1.7¢
- No$714 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$1000 @ 90.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$5.9k @ 57.3¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 38.8¢
- Yes$778 @ 62.8¢
- Yes$646 @ 61.8¢
- Yes$364 @ 77.8¢
- Yes$338 @ 67.7¢
- Yes$299 @ 72.9¢
- Yes$258 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$244 @ 66.8¢
- No$240 @ 74.0¢
- No$219 @ 58.5¢
- Yes$209 @ 69.7¢
- Yes$203 @ 76.8¢
- No$197 @ 72.5¢
- Yes$195 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$187 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$187 @ 51.6¢
- Yes$97 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$79 @ 23.5¢
- No$59 @ 59.4¢
- Yes$52 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 65.0¢
- No$29 @ 72.5¢
- Yes$21 @ 18.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 8.9¢
- Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?CultureYes$14 @ 15.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 30.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 23.0¢
- Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?CultureYes$7 @ 9.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 28.0¢