0x776f…0478

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x776f7fb93be970d678068e00674b54af0ff10478
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+36.2pp

ROI

+249%

Win rate

51% @ 14.8¢

Brier

0.379

Resolved

Avg size

$1.0k

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	14% (4/28)	+228%	28
Politics	40% (2/5)	+79%	5

Other28 bets
Hit rate
14% (4/28)
ROI
+228%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+79%

Track record

18% hit · 6/33

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	$208	6.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	$170	17.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	$36	3.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	$2.1k	19.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	$240	30.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	$150	10.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	$666	20.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	$239	9.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	$168	42.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	$199	2.6¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$2.6k	24.3¢	Lost
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	$215	4.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	$296	14.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	$150	15.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	$179	6.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	$250	5.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	$128	8.5¢	Lost
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$2.0k	27.2¢	Won
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$2.9k	28.5¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$100	4.2¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$5.4k	26.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$16.1k	12.2¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$6.6k	60.2¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	16.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?	Yes	$128	2.8¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$5.5k	49.5¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	Yes	$3.6k	10.7¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?	Yes	$398	3.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	Yes	$15	4.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$5.5k	49.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	11.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?	Yes	$200	3.7¢	Lost

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETLost
Up$208 @ 6.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETLost
Up$170 @ 17.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETLost
Up$36 @ 3.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$2.1k @ 19.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETLost
Up$240 @ 30.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETLost
Up$150 @ 10.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETLost
Down$10 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETLost
Down$666 @ 20.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETLost
Up$239 @ 9.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETLost
Up$168 @ 42.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETLost
Up$199 @ 2.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 24.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseLost
Yes$215 @ 4.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETLost
Down$296 @ 14.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETLost
Down$150 @ 15.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETLost
Up$179 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETLost
Up$250 @ 5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETLost
Up$128 @ 8.5¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
No$2.0k @ 27.2¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
Yes$2.9k @ 28.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 4.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$5.4k @ 26.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$16.1k @ 12.2¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$6.6k @ 60.2¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 16.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Lost
Yes$128 @ 2.8¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$5.5k @ 49.5¢
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$3.6k @ 10.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$398 @ 3.4¢
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 4.3¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Won
Yes$5.5k @ 49.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 11.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 3.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$15.3k	62.0¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
No$15.3k @ 62.0¢