← Smart money
0x774f…8779
SharpEdge
+3.3pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
11% @ 7.9¢
Brier
0.076
Resolved
669
Avg size
$4
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 15% (26/173) | +31% | 173 |
| Sports | 2% (1/42) | -44% | 42 |
| Politics | 13% (1/8) | +57% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/6) | -100% | 6 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | +28% | 2 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other173 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (26/173)
- ROI
- +31%
- Sports42 bets
- Hit rate
- 2% (1/42)
- ROI
- -44%
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (1/8)
- ROI
- +57%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/6)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +28%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
12% hit · 29/234- Yes$3 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$73 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$39 @ 51.3¢
- Yes$79 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 24.5¢
- No$5 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- No$49 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$18 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$73 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Will the announcers say "Wind" or "Windy" during the National College Football Championship Game?WonYes$14 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
- Will "Genius" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)WonYes$8 @ 52.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$7 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $28 | 13.9¢ |
| Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $24 | 6.0¢ |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $14 | 1.5¢ |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | Tech | Yes | $11 | 10.0¢ |
| Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? | Culture | Yes | $9 | 20.3¢ |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Politics | Yes | $8 | 3.8¢ |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.0¢ |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Culture | Yes | $2 | 1.5¢ |
| Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 10.0¢ |
| Elon Bull Run Combo | Tech | Yes | $1 | 16.0¢ |
- Yes$28 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$24 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 20.3¢
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsYes$8 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢