0x771d…440e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x771d7c5ac82ca8776738e2560f6a6e50d34b440e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.7pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

89% @ 79.0¢

Brier

0.095

Resolved

363

Avg size

$258

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	83% (82/99)	+10%	99
Politics	100% (4/4)	+12%	4
Culture	100% (1/1)	+15%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other99 bets
Hit rate
83% (82/99)
ROI
+10%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+12%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

83% hit · 87/105

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	$9.6k	93.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?	No	$29.5k	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?	No	$508	89.8¢	Won
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	Yes	$124	29.1¢	Lost
Google forced to sell Chrome?	No	$1.8k	89.0¢	Won
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?	No	$99	80.0¢	Won
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	No	$87	87.2¢	Won
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$11	42.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4600 August 18–24?	No	$39	77.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$1.8k	86.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4700 August 18–24?	No	$353	88.3¢	Lost
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?	No	$890	89.0¢	Won
US-EU trade deal before June?	No	$886	85.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?	No	$656	78.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$384	79.7¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$1.3k	87.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$870	87.0¢	Won
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?	Yes	$65	86.0¢	Won
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?	No	$100	88.0¢	Won
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?	No	$50	89.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$117	78.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$577	88.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?	No	$1.5k	74.5¢	Won
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?	Yes	$81	67.6¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$79	79.0¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?	No	$445	89.0¢	Won
Hayden Davis confirmed behind $YZY?	No	$196	84.5¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?	No	$220	88.0¢	Won
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	No	$500	83.0¢	Won
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	No	$35	2.3¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?	No	$47	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?	No	$88	88.0¢	Won
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?	Yes	$1.1k	85.6¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?	No	$1.0k	80.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?	No	$215	86.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$429	85.7¢	Won
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?	No	$83	71.2¢	Won
South Korean President impeached in 2024?	Yes	$1.1k	77.8¢	Won
US military action against Iran before July?	Yes	$560	65.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?	No	$594	84.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April?	No	$886	88.6¢	Won
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$65	65.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	$1.0k	83.9¢	Lost
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	$82	82.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?	No	$1.1k	72.3¢	Won
Will Ripple hit in $4.00 in December?	No	$178	89.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	$86	86.0¢	Won
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	No	$4.2k	85.2¢	Won
Iran Nuke in 2025?	No	$860	86.0¢	Won

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
No$9.6k @ 93.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Won
No$29.5k @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?Won
No$508 @ 89.8¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Lost
Yes$124 @ 29.1¢
Google forced to sell Chrome?Won
No$1.8k @ 89.0¢
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?Won
No$99 @ 80.0¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Won
No$87 @ 87.2¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$11 @ 42.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4600 August 18–24?Lost
No$39 @ 77.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$1.8k @ 86.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $4700 August 18–24?Lost
No$353 @ 88.3¢
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Won
No$890 @ 89.0¢
US-EU trade deal before June?Won
No$886 @ 85.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Won
No$656 @ 78.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
No$384 @ 79.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$1.3k @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Won
Yes$65 @ 86.0¢
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Won
No$100 @ 88.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Won
No$50 @ 89.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
No$117 @ 78.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$577 @ 88.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Won
No$1.5k @ 74.5¢
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? Lost
Yes$81 @ 67.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$79 @ 79.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Won
No$445 @ 89.0¢
Hayden Davis confirmed behind $YZY?Won
No$196 @ 84.5¢
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Won
No$220 @ 88.0¢
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Won
No$500 @ 83.0¢
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Lost
No$35 @ 2.3¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Won
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?Won
No$47 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?Won
No$88 @ 88.0¢
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 85.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Won
No$1.0k @ 80.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Lost
No$215 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
Yes$429 @ 85.7¢
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Won
No$83 @ 71.2¢
South Korean President impeached in 2024?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 77.8¢
US military action against Iran before July?Won
Yes$560 @ 65.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?Won
No$594 @ 84.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April?Won
No$886 @ 88.6¢
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Won
Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Lost
No$1.0k @ 83.9¢
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Won
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?Won
No$1.1k @ 72.3¢
Will Ripple hit in $4.00 in December?Won
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Won
No$86 @ 86.0¢
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Won
No$4.2k @ 85.2¢
Iran Nuke in 2025?Won
No$860 @ 86.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$6.9k	86.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Politics	No	$4.8k	99.2¢
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Science	No	$3.4k	91.6¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$957	95.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$940	94.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$910	91.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	No	$493	98.6¢
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Politics	No	$481	96.3¢
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?	Politics	No	$397	95.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$239	95.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$183	92.8¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$117	72.0¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Politics	No	$36	91.0¢
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Politics	No	$19	96.3¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$6.9k @ 86.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?Politics
No$4.8k @ 99.2¢
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Science
No$3.4k @ 91.6¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$957 @ 95.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$940 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$910 @ 91.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
No$493 @ 98.6¢
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Politics
No$481 @ 96.3¢
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?Politics
No$397 @ 95.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech
No$239 @ 95.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech
No$183 @ 92.8¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
No$117 @ 72.0¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics
No$36 @ 91.0¢
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics
No$19 @ 96.3¢