0x76b8…4c9c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x76b8356b60b9bcac7458022c5f3c0337eeab4c9c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.1pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

22% @ 19.8¢

Brier

0.103

Resolved

5118

Avg size

$16

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	25% (202/820)	+17%	820
Culture	58% (33/57)	+17%	57
Sports	0% (0/12)	-100%	12

Other820 bets
Hit rate
25% (202/820)
ROI
+17%
Culture57 bets
Hit rate
58% (33/57)
ROI
+17%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/12)
ROI
-100%

Track record

26% hit · 235/889

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 20 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	$11	3.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$356	28.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	$9	1.3¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$10	1.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$291	22.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$60	11.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	$17	5.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views in week 1?	Yes	$19	18.6¢	Lost
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	Yes	$33	2.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 42 and 44 million views in week 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 42 million views in week 1?	Yes	$3	2.0¢	Lost
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	$233	48.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 5?	Yes	$31	6.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?	Yes	$19	10.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 5?	Yes	$89	7.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$14	2.3¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?	Yes	$7	1.6¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 8 and 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	$29	10.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 5?	Yes	$16	13.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12 million views on day 1?	Yes	$193	45.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 16 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5?	Yes	$16	15.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?	Yes	$107	26.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	$63	31.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$7	13.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	$43	30.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 4?	Yes	$804	71.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 26 million views on day 3?	Yes	$225	27.7¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	$19	5.1¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	Yes	$5	2.3¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	$30	6.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	$181	24.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57.75 and 58.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	$0	16.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 56.5 million views on day 6?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?	Yes	$81	37.6¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?	Yes	$18	12.0¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?	Yes	$23	16.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$143	23.6¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$4	0.3¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?	No	$51	95.7¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$479	16.9¢	Won
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $29m or more but less than $32m opening weekend?	Yes	$11	2.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?	No	$191	86.6¢	Won
Will Kafka Hibino win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?	Yes	$41	9.6¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	$602	33.4¢	Won

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 20 million or more views on day 1?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$356 @ 28.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$291 @ 22.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$60 @ 11.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38 and 40 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$17 @ 5.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$19 @ 18.6¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$33 @ 2.5¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 42 and 44 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 42 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$233 @ 48.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 5?Lost
Yes$31 @ 6.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$19 @ 10.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 5?Lost
Yes$89 @ 7.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.3¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.6¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 8 and 10 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$29 @ 10.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 5?Lost
Yes$16 @ 13.8¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$193 @ 45.4¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 16 million or more views on day 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5?Lost
Yes$16 @ 15.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$107 @ 26.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$63 @ 31.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$7 @ 13.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$43 @ 30.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$804 @ 71.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 26 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$225 @ 27.7¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?Lost
Yes$19 @ 5.1¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$30 @ 6.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$181 @ 24.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57.75 and 58.5 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 16.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 56.5 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$81 @ 37.6¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?Lost
Yes$18 @ 12.0¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Lost
Yes$23 @ 16.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$143 @ 23.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Won
No$51 @ 95.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$479 @ 16.9¢
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $29m or more but less than $32m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?Won
No$191 @ 86.6¢
Will Kafka Hibino win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?Lost
Yes$41 @ 9.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$602 @ 33.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will MrBeast's next video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 4?	—	Yes	$804	71.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Culture	Yes	$401	43.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Culture	Yes	$366	17.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	—	Yes	$356	28.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	—	Yes	$291	22.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Culture	Yes	$247	63.1¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	—	Yes	$233	48.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 26 million views on day 3?	—	Yes	$225	27.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	Culture	No	$220	80.0¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12 million views on day 1?	—	Yes	$193	45.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	—	Yes	$192	7.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4?	Culture	Yes	$187	39.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	—	Yes	$181	24.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	—	Yes	$143	23.6¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Culture	Yes	$128	13.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Culture	No	$113	73.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Culture	No	$109	84.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?	—	Yes	$107	26.1¢
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Culture	No	$95	91.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 5?	—	Yes	$89	7.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?	—	Yes	$81	37.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Culture	Yes	$67	19.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	—	Yes	$63	31.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	—	Yes	$60	11.2¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Culture	Yes	$51	4.9¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$51	1.7¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?	—	Yes	$49	7.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	—	Yes	$49	10.4¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$48	1.5¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?	—	Yes	$44	3.3¢

Will MrBeast's next video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 4?—
Yes$804 @ 71.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Culture
Yes$401 @ 43.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Culture
Yes$366 @ 17.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?—
Yes$356 @ 28.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?—
Yes$291 @ 22.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Culture
Yes$247 @ 63.1¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?—
Yes$233 @ 48.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 26 million views on day 3?—
Yes$225 @ 27.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?Culture
No$220 @ 80.0¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12 million views on day 1?—
Yes$193 @ 45.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?—
Yes$192 @ 7.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4?Culture
Yes$187 @ 39.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?—
Yes$181 @ 24.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?—
Yes$143 @ 23.6¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?Culture
Yes$128 @ 13.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture
No$113 @ 73.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Culture
No$109 @ 84.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?—
Yes$107 @ 26.1¢
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Culture
No$95 @ 91.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 5?—
Yes$89 @ 7.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?—
Yes$81 @ 37.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture
Yes$67 @ 19.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?—
Yes$63 @ 31.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?—
Yes$60 @ 11.2¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?Culture
Yes$51 @ 4.9¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$51 @ 1.7¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?—
Yes$49 @ 7.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?—
Yes$49 @ 10.4¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$48 @ 1.5¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?—
Yes$44 @ 3.3¢