0x7609…6c4e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x760907c8840491c8c86fddb843d3f1d801786c4e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.3pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

51% @ 48.4¢

Brier

0.205

Resolved

2807

Avg size

$112

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	44% (109/250)	+0%	250
Other	47% (58/124)	+9%	124
Politics	51% (26/51)	-13%	51
Geopolitics	58% (7/12)	+15%	12
Tech	40% (4/10)	-7%	10
Culture	60% (3/5)	-22%	5
Economy	33% (1/3)	-10%	3
Science	50% (1/2)	+12%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+38%	1

Sports250 bets
Hit rate
44% (109/250)
ROI
+0%
Other124 bets
Hit rate
47% (58/124)
ROI
+9%
Politics51 bets
Hit rate
51% (26/51)
ROI
-13%
Geopolitics12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+15%
Tech10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
-7%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-22%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-10%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+12%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+38%

Track record

46% hit · 210/458

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	$10.6k	88.0¢	Won
Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	$2.7k	54.0¢	Lost
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	FURIA Esports	$6.3k	63.0¢	Lost
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	$1.7k	27.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?	No	$1.9k	38.0¢	Lost
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5	Under	$1.9k	48.0¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	$2.2k	54.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini	Grigor Dimitrov	$980	49.0¢	Won
Titans vs. Giants	Giants	$336	56.0¢	Won
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)	Broncos	$312	52.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$75	75.0¢	Lost
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09?	No	$2.5k	63.0¢	Won
Spread: Texans (-1.5)	Texans	$300	50.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$258	51.6¢	Won
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	$940	47.0¢	Lost
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?	No	$426	56.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$939	82.2¢	Won
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$1.6k	82.0¢	Won
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	$400	20.0¢	Lost
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	$1.0k	50.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5	Under	$1.5k	22.4¢	Won
LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	Lodis	$282	47.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06?	No	$360	9.0¢	Lost
Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5	Under	$294	49.0¢	Lost
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	No	$354	59.0¢	Won
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	$1.6k	38.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-10-05?	No	$3.7k	45.0¢	Won
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5	Over	$492	82.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$436	29.1¢	Lost
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5	Under	$1.0k	51.7¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$1.5k	75.0¢	Lost
LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winner	LOS	$689	36.6¢	Won
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$574	59.6¢	Won
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Terence Atmane	Jaime Faria	$270	45.0¢	Won
Dana White's Contender Series: Kwon Won Il vs. Apollo Gomes (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Apollo Gomes	$45	45.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$225	34.6¢	Lost
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	$288	48.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$340	53.4¢	Won
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$780	78.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5	Under	$1.7k	41.5¢	Won
Texans vs. Colts	Texans	$318	53.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	$3.4k	86.0¢	Won
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	$93	53.0¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$1.6k	55.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$360	72.0¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$304	30.4¢	Lost
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	No	$2.1k	53.0¢	Won
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	Yes	$427	46.7¢	Lost
UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Payton Talbott	$3.4k	85.0¢	Won

LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InWon
Karmine Corp$10.6k @ 88.0¢
Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-18?Lost
No$2.7k @ 54.0¢
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InLost
FURIA Esports$6.3k @ 63.0¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$1.7k @ 27.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?Lost
No$1.9k @ 38.0¢
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Won
Under$1.9k @ 48.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLost
HANJIN BRION$2.2k @ 54.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo BerrettiniWon
Grigor Dimitrov$980 @ 49.0¢
Titans vs. GiantsWon
Giants$336 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Won
Broncos$312 @ 52.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$75 @ 75.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09?Won
No$2.5k @ 63.0¢
Spread: Texans (-1.5)Lost
Texans$300 @ 50.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$258 @ 51.6¢
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$940 @ 47.0¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?Won
No$426 @ 56.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$939 @ 82.2¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?Won
No$1.6k @ 82.0¢
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas WingsLost
Phoenix Mercury$400 @ 20.0¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersWon
Texas Rangers$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Won
Under$1.5k @ 22.4¢
LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageLost
Lodis$282 @ 47.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06?Lost
No$360 @ 9.0¢
Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5Lost
Under$294 @ 49.0¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?Won
No$354 @ 59.0¢
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$1.6k @ 38.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-10-05?Won
No$3.7k @ 45.0¢
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Won
Over$492 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$436 @ 29.1¢
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Lost
Under$1.0k @ 51.7¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
No$1.5k @ 75.0¢
LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 WinnerWon
LOS$689 @ 36.6¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$574 @ 59.6¢
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Terence AtmaneWon
Jaime Faria$270 @ 45.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Kwon Won Il vs. Apollo Gomes (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Apollo Gomes$45 @ 45.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$225 @ 34.6¢
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Lost
Eagles$288 @ 48.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$340 @ 53.4¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
No$780 @ 78.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5Won
Under$1.7k @ 41.5¢
Texans vs. ColtsLost
Texans$318 @ 53.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageWon
Spirit$3.4k @ 86.0¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Lost
No$93 @ 53.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 55.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$360 @ 72.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$304 @ 30.4¢
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?Won
No$2.1k @ 53.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Lost
Yes$427 @ 46.7¢
UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Payton Talbott$3.4k @ 85.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Sports	Karmine Corp	$10.6k	88.0¢
Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-18?	Sports	No	$2.7k	54.0¢

LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InSports
Karmine Corp$10.6k @ 88.0¢
Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-18?Sports
No$2.7k @ 54.0¢