← Smart money
0x75f0…2b66
SharpEdge
+6.4pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
43% @ 36.4¢
Brier
0.178
Resolved
2757
Avg size
$75
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 41% (73/179) | +6% | 179 |
| Other | 45% (58/128) | +13% | 128 |
- Sports179 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (73/179)
- ROI
- +6%
- Other128 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (58/128)
- ROI
- +13%
Track record
43% hit · 131/307- Under$8 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Under$26 @ 41.0¢
- Under$50 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 99.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.7¢
- Under$173 @ 98.9¢
- No$163 @ 3.5¢
- Over$323 @ 67.9¢
- No$607 @ 6.0¢
- Under$2 @ 1.5¢
- No$603 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 1.0¢
- No$295 @ 2.2¢
- Under$281 @ 75.0¢
- Under$603 @ 9.9¢
- No$5.4k @ 58.5¢
- Yes$201 @ 21.0¢
- Over$411 @ 55.0¢
- Under$1.2k @ 84.3¢
- No$1.3k @ 27.0¢
- No$352 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$418 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 7.0¢
- No$4 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$758 @ 69.3¢
- Yes$204 @ 69.3¢
- Under$263 @ 75.3¢
- Over$199 @ 86.6¢
- No$1.6k @ 65.7¢
- No$1.4k @ 7.9¢
- No$668 @ 57.8¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 72.4¢
- Jordan$146 @ 61.0¢
- Croatia$500 @ 37.0¢
- Panama$2.6k @ 72.0¢
- France$800 @ 21.0¢
- Paraguay$400 @ 68.0¢
- FC Barcelona$9 @ 42.0¢
- No$25 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 39.9¢
- Yes$134 @ 46.1¢
- Morocco$1.9k @ 45.6¢
- Netherlands$702 @ 49.7¢
- No$125 @ 8.6¢
- Türkiye$567 @ 58.1¢
- No$849 @ 4.7¢
- No$116 @ 5.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $3.2k | 39.0¢ |
| Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Politics | No | $192 | 40.2¢ |
- Yes$3.2k @ 39.0¢
- No$192 @ 40.2¢