← Smart money
0x75d1…c4d0
SharpEdge
+12.8pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
89% @ 75.8¢
Brier
0.111
Resolved
184
Avg size
$127
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 69% (9/13) | +17% | 13 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +13% | 1 |
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (9/13)
- ROI
- +17%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +13%
Track record
71% hit · 10/14| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | $525 | 87.5¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | $267 | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | No | $738 | 78.2¢ | Lost |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | No | $600 | 85.7¢ | Won |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | No | $1.3k | 79.7¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $177 | 88.5¢ | Won |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | $2.0k | 86.3¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | $743 | 61.9¢ | Lost |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | No | $430 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) | Vitality | $6 | 55.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $2.9k | 83.8¢ | Won |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | No | $2.0k | 82.0¢ | Won |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | $10 | 56.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $11.5k | 77.1¢ | Won |
- No$525 @ 87.5¢
- No$267 @ 89.0¢
- No$738 @ 78.2¢
- No$600 @ 85.7¢
- No$1.3k @ 79.7¢
- Yes$177 @ 88.5¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 86.3¢
- No$743 @ 61.9¢
- No$430 @ 86.0¢
- Vitality$6 @ 55.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 83.8¢
- No$2.0k @ 82.0¢
- Vitality$10 @ 56.0¢
- No$11.5k @ 77.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$197 @ 98.4¢
- No$197 @ 98.3¢
- No$196 @ 98.0¢
- No$195 @ 97.5¢
- No$194 @ 97.2¢
- No$194 @ 96.9¢
- No$193 @ 96.6¢
- No$193 @ 96.5¢
- No$192 @ 96.0¢
- No$99 @ 98.8¢
- No$99 @ 98.7¢
- No$98 @ 98.2¢
- No$98 @ 98.0¢
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboGeopoliticsNo$98 @ 98.0¢
- No$96 @ 96.4¢
- No$93 @ 93.2¢