0x7597…5f01

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x75978edaeed0b4aba863a73f7bcb4ab6205e5f01
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.0pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

56% @ 49.7¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

1198

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (314/534)	+2%	534
Politics	61% (103/170)	+29%	170
Sports	26% (6/23)	-14%	23
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+24%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other534 bets
Hit rate
59% (314/534)
ROI
+2%
Politics170 bets
Hit rate
61% (103/170)
ROI
+29%
Sports23 bets
Hit rate
26% (6/23)
ROI
-14%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+24%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

58% hit · 424/730

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	$60	70.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	49.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Ranked Choice" this week?	No	$31	61.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	$35	56.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Visa" in October?	Yes	$12	30.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?	No	$15	50.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?	Yes	$2	26.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	$20	99.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Happy Halloween" this week?	No	$5	87.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	$21	41.0¢	Won
Will Bernie Sanders's remarks not air?	Yes	$2	2.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Pig" during Wisconsin events?	No	$15	78.0¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?	No	$22	22.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Strong" during UFC 250?	No	$5	52.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Proclamation" during Greek Independence Day event?	Yes	$6	59.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Rubio" or "Vance" during Memphis Roundtable?	Yes	$19	68.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)	Yes	$13	66.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	$4	24.0¢	Won
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	No	$2	78.0¢	Won
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	$10	46.0¢	Lost
0x04912314…	Yes	$3	54.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mine" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	No	$2	39.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mine" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	$20	53.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tractor" during National Agriculture Day events?	No	$3	19.9¢	Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?	No	$1	74.0¢	Won
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?	Yes	$13	74.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	No	$0	22.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?	No	$10	79.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	$19	33.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Stock market" this week? (March 15)	Yes	$15	84.0¢	Won
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$8	19.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Too late" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	$39	47.1¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Canada" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$3	89.0¢	Won
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "World" during UFC 250?	No	$4	36.0¢	Lost
Will Bernie Sanders say "Authoritarian" or "Authoritarianism" in Michigan?	No	$0	6.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	$16	89.0¢	Won
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?	Yes	$4	55.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?	No	$15	53.5¢	Won
0x0c265d16…	Yes	$4	40.0¢	Lost
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" on The Late Show on December 10?	Yes	$9	35.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$73	9.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?	Yes	$21	21.2¢	Won
Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?	Yes	$2	34.0¢	Won
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$9	75.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?	Yes	$36	61.7¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$75	57.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ebola" or "COVID" during Cabinet meeting?	No	$3	87.0¢	Won
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?	Yes	$4	49.0¢	Won

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
No$60 @ 70.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Trump say "Ranked Choice" this week?Won
No$31 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?Lost
Yes$35 @ 56.0¢
Will Trump say "Visa" in October?Lost
Yes$12 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?Won
No$15 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?Lost
Yes$2 @ 26.0¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 99.8¢
Will Trump say "Happy Halloween" this week?Lost
No$5 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?Won
Yes$21 @ 41.0¢
Will Bernie Sanders's remarks not air?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.7¢
Will Trump say "Pig" during Wisconsin events?Won
No$15 @ 78.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?Lost
No$22 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump say "Strong" during UFC 250?Won
No$5 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump say "Proclamation" during Greek Independence Day event?Lost
Yes$6 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump say "Rubio" or "Vance" during Memphis Roundtable?Lost
Yes$19 @ 68.6¢
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)Won
Yes$13 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?Won
No$4 @ 24.0¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Won
No$2 @ 78.0¢
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?Lost
No$10 @ 46.0¢
0x04912314…Won
Yes$3 @ 54.0¢
Will Trump say "Mine" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Won
No$2 @ 39.0¢
Will Trump say "Mine" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Lost
Yes$20 @ 53.5¢
Will Trump say "Tractor" during National Agriculture Day events?Lost
No$3 @ 19.9¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?Won
No$1 @ 74.0¢
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?Won
Yes$13 @ 74.2¢
Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?Won
No$0 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?Won
No$10 @ 79.5¢
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?Won
Yes$19 @ 33.2¢
Will Trump say "Stock market" this week? (March 15)Won
Yes$15 @ 84.0¢
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
No$8 @ 19.8¢
Will Trump say "Too late" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Lost
Yes$39 @ 47.1¢
Will the announcers say "Canada" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?Won
Yes$3 @ 89.0¢
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Trump say "World" during UFC 250?Lost
No$4 @ 36.0¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Authoritarian" or "Authoritarianism" in Michigan?Lost
No$0 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Small Business Summit?Won
Yes$16 @ 89.0¢
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 55.8¢
Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?Won
No$15 @ 53.5¢
0x0c265d16…Lost
Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" on The Late Show on December 10?Lost
Yes$9 @ 35.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$73 @ 9.4¢
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?Won
Yes$21 @ 21.2¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?Won
Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$9 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?Won
Yes$36 @ 61.7¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$75 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump say "Ebola" or "COVID" during Cabinet meeting?Won
No$3 @ 87.0¢
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?Lost
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?Won
Yes$4 @ 49.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$60	70.0¢
Will Trump say "Epstein" in November?	Politics	Yes	$40	50.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$16	4.3¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	No	$15	77.0¢

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$60 @ 70.0¢
Will Trump say "Epstein" in November?Politics
Yes$40 @ 50.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
Yes$16 @ 4.3¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
No$15 @ 77.0¢