← Smart money
0x7505…2978
ProfitableEdge
-4.9pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
35% @ 40.3¢
Brier
0.187
Resolved
1743
Avg size
$57
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 39% (65/166) | -4% | 166 |
| Politics | 49% (18/37) | +25% | 37 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +45% | 1 |
- Other166 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (65/166)
- ROI
- -4%
- Politics37 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (18/37)
- ROI
- +25%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +45%
Track record
41% hit · 84/204- No$135 @ 67.0¢
- No$311 @ 28.5¢
- Yes$104 @ 33.4¢
- No$573 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 71.7¢
- Yes$14 @ 0.8¢
- No$377 @ 72.9¢
- Yes$91 @ 24.1¢
- No$330 @ 76.8¢
- No$686 @ 4.7¢
- No$139 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$454 @ 75.0¢
- No$904 @ 59.2¢
- No$292 @ 75.4¢
- Yes$37 @ 18.8¢
- No$919 @ 73.5¢
- Yes$99 @ 11.1¢
- No$224 @ 80.4¢
- Yes$52 @ 24.8¢
- Yes$42 @ 13.4¢
- Yes$58 @ 11.7¢
- No$204 @ 64.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.9¢
- No$11 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 14.8¢
- No$876 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$146 @ 14.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 60.3¢
- Yes$133 @ 24.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.6¢
- No$4.5k @ 63.5¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 75.2¢
- No$1.7k @ 44.8¢
- Yes$139 @ 68.4¢
- Yes$91 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 3.2¢
- No$9 @ 88.3¢
- No$261 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$673 @ 63.2¢
- No$144 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$235 @ 12.8¢
- No$119 @ 21.4¢
- Yes$432 @ 69.3¢
- No$680 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$94 @ 12.1¢
- No$2.6k @ 43.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 47.6¢
- No$99 @ 12.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | Politics | No | $135 | 67.0¢ |
- No$135 @ 67.0¢