← Smart money
0x74fa…d771
SharpEdge
+32.3pp
ROI
+51%
Win rate
100% @ 67.7¢
Brier
0.107
Resolved
72
Avg size
$102
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% (7/7) | +51% | 7 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +16% | 1 |
- Other7 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (7/7)
- ROI
- +51%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +16%
Track record
100% hit · 8/8| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $5 | 89.9¢ | Won |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | Yes | $66 | 69.5¢ | Won |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | $5 | 82.0¢ | Won |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? | Yes | $66 | 87.2¢ | Won |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $1.8k | 66.7¢ | Won |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $5 | 82.6¢ | Won |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Yes | $4 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $5.4k | 66.1¢ | Won |
- Yes$5 @ 89.9¢
- Yes$66 @ 69.5¢
- No$5 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 87.2¢
- No$1.8k @ 66.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 82.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$5.4k @ 66.1¢
Recent trades
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