0x7371…cade

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x73717594077255fce14a2f419124c227c964cade
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.4pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

54% @ 49.4¢

Brier

0.177

Resolved

1248

Avg size

$60

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (190/326)	+6%	326
Sports	54% (19/35)	+81%	35
Crypto	53% (8/15)	-23%	15
Tech	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Politics	100% (2/2)	+22%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+15%	1

Other326 bets
Hit rate
58% (190/326)
ROI
+6%
Sports35 bets
Hit rate
54% (19/35)
ROI
+81%
Crypto15 bets
Hit rate
53% (8/15)
ROI
-23%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+22%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%

Track record

57% hit · 220/383

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Solana dip to $100 in August?	Yes	$105	35.0¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$100	36.0¢	Lost
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$64	10.5¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$203	53.0¢	Won
Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	$40	69.5¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)	Mansur Abdul-Malik	$106	53.0¢	Lost
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?	Yes	$350	87.7¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	$154	49.0¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$460	46.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	$101	62.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$235	24.2¢	Lost
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?	Yes	$10	18.0¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	$103	40.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?	No	$10	33.0¢	Won
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$250	42.7¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$100	48.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?	Yes	$102	73.0¢	Lost
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$234	67.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$162	54.0¢	Won
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$74	37.0¢	Lost
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	$430	86.0¢	Won
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$499	54.3¢	Lost
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	$26	62.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$102	50.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$335	67.0¢	Won
Michael Olise: 1+ assists	Yes	$51	33.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$100	52.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$51	17.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$97	33.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$129	64.0¢	Won
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	$11	11.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$126	63.0¢	Lost
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals	Yes	$20	22.0¢	Lost
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	$880	63.1¢	Won
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$334	72.4¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	$102	46.0¢	Won
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	Yes	$52	56.9¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?	No	$63	69.5¢	Won
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?	Yes	$65	65.0¢	Lost
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$12	4.6¢	Lost
Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$88	35.0¢	Won
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?	Yes	$6	62.0¢	Won
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robert Whittaker	$102	53.0¢	Won
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	Yes	$169	53.8¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	$94	46.0¢	Lost
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?	No	$150	64.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)	Israel Adesanya	$143	57.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)	Joe Pyfer	$129	43.0¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$188	47.0¢	Won
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)	Randy Brown	$100	50.0¢	Lost

Will Solana dip to $100 in August?Lost
Yes$105 @ 35.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$100 @ 36.0¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
No$64 @ 10.5¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$203 @ 53.0¢
Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?Won
Yes$40 @ 69.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)Lost
Mansur Abdul-Malik$106 @ 53.0¢
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Won
Yes$350 @ 87.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Steve Erceg$154 @ 49.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
Yes$460 @ 46.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?Won
Yes$101 @ 62.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$235 @ 24.2¢
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?Lost
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05?Lost
Yes$103 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?Won
No$10 @ 33.0¢
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
No$250 @ 42.7¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Won
Yes$100 @ 48.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?Lost
Yes$102 @ 73.0¢
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Won
No$234 @ 67.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?Won
Yes$162 @ 54.0¢
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$74 @ 37.0¢
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?Won
No$430 @ 86.0¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
No$499 @ 54.3¢
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Lost
Yes$26 @ 62.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$102 @ 50.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$335 @ 67.0¢
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsLost
Yes$51 @ 33.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?Lost
Yes$100 @ 52.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Lost
Yes$51 @ 17.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Lost
Yes$97 @ 33.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$129 @ 64.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Won
Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?Lost
Yes$126 @ 63.0¢
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$20 @ 22.0¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
No$880 @ 63.1¢
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$334 @ 72.4¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Won
Yes$102 @ 46.0¢
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Won
Yes$52 @ 56.9¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Won
No$63 @ 69.5¢
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?Lost
Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
Yes$12 @ 4.6¢
Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?Won
Yes$88 @ 35.0¢
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?Won
Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Robert Whittaker$102 @ 53.0¢
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Lost
Yes$169 @ 53.8¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?Lost
Yes$94 @ 46.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?Won
No$150 @ 64.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
Israel Adesanya$143 @ 57.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
Joe Pyfer$129 @ 43.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?Won
Yes$188 @ 47.0¢
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)Lost
Randy Brown$100 @ 50.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$2.5k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$2.5k	50.0¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Sports	Yes	$341	48.7¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	—	Yes	$300	74.0¢
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$240	48.0¢
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	—	Tatsuro Taira	$236	59.0¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	—	Yes	$216	27.0¢
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	—	No	$205	41.0¢
UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Sports	Azamat Murzakanov	$200	64.0¢
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Sports	Movsar Evloev	$200	50.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	—	Yes	$156	24.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Sports	Yes	$150	58.8¢
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	—	Steve Erceg	$150	49.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	—	Yes	$144	18.0¢
Will Solana dip to $100 in August?	—	Yes	$105	35.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05?	—	Yes	$100	40.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)	—	Beneil Dariush	$100	20.0¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?	—	Yes	$100	20.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$100	58.0¢
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	—	Benoît Saint Denis	$100	56.0¢
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-05?	—	Yes	$100	55.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Sports	Yes	$100	54.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?	—	Yes	$100	53.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05?	—	Yes	$100	52.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Sports	Yes	$100	52.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$100	50.5¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?	—	Yes	$100	49.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?	—	Yes	$100	45.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Sports	Yes	$100	42.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?	—	Yes	$100	36.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$2.5k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$2.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Sports
Yes$341 @ 48.7¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?—
Yes$300 @ 74.0¢
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$240 @ 48.0¢
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)—
Tatsuro Taira$236 @ 59.0¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?—
Yes$216 @ 27.0¢
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?—
No$205 @ 41.0¢
UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Sports
Azamat Murzakanov$200 @ 64.0¢
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)Sports
Movsar Evloev$200 @ 50.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?—
Yes$156 @ 24.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports
Yes$150 @ 58.8¢
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)—
Steve Erceg$150 @ 49.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?—
Yes$144 @ 18.0¢
Will Solana dip to $100 in August?—
Yes$105 @ 35.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05?—
Yes$100 @ 40.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)—
Beneil Dariush$100 @ 20.0¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?—
Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$100 @ 58.0¢
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)—
Benoît Saint Denis$100 @ 56.0¢
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-05?—
Yes$100 @ 55.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Sports
Yes$100 @ 54.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?—
Yes$100 @ 53.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05?—
Yes$100 @ 52.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Sports
Yes$100 @ 52.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$100 @ 50.5¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?—
Yes$100 @ 49.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?—
Yes$100 @ 45.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Sports
Yes$100 @ 42.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?—
Yes$100 @ 36.0¢