0x731a…033f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x731a241767938bb23d1b2fac4c9cd2f3cea9033f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+23.2pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

92% @ 68.5¢

Brier

0.157

Resolved

Avg size

$306

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	80% (16/20)	+43%	20
Tech	20% (1/5)	-83%	5
Sports	100% (4/4)	+20%	4
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+15%	1

Other20 bets
Hit rate
80% (16/20)
ROI
+43%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-83%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+20%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%

Track record

69% hit · 22/32

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	Yes	$396	79.1¢	Won
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.3B?	Yes	$110	88.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	$8.9k	71.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$243	68.8¢	Lost
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?	Yes	$107	85.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	$3	64.9¢	Won
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Yes	$516	66.3¢	Won
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?	No	$198	84.1¢	Won
Exact Score: Slavia Mozyr 4 - 5 FC Baranovichi?	No	$163	90.0¢	Won
Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?	Yes	$155	88.7¢	Won
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 48% to 50%?	Yes	$359	84.0¢	Won
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$95	57.6¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on November 5?	Yes	$758	79.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62.5B?	Yes	$123	88.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	Yes	$2.6k	84.6¢	Lost
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	$8	80.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?	No	$7	20.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	$23	6.7¢	Lost
Finkelstein vs. Gabelic: Match O/U 22.5	Over	$259	25.0¢	Lost
Daniel Lukacs: 2+ shots on target	No	$4	19.0¢	Won
Malmesbury Victoria FC vs. Longlevens AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	$0	80.1¢	Won
Finkelstein vs. Gabelic: Match O/U 23.5	Over	$130	25.0¢	Lost
Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna Blinkova	Kaitlin Quevedo	$14.5k	56.7¢	Won
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: Tied after 5 innings?	No	$1.2k	85.1¢	Won
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	$31	8.1¢	Lost
Baltimore Orioles winning after 5 innings?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Won
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?	Yes	$995	87.0¢	Won
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026	OpenAI	$0	1.5¢	Won
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	No	$1.1k	62.5¢	Won
Set Handicap: Routliffe/Sutjiadi (-1.5) vs Garland/Hsieh (+1.5)	Garland/Hsieh	$2.8k	86.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost

Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?Won
Yes$396 @ 79.1¢
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.3B?Won
Yes$110 @ 88.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Won
Yes$8.9k @ 71.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Lost
No$243 @ 68.8¢
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?Won
Yes$107 @ 85.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 64.9¢
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?Won
Yes$516 @ 66.3¢
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?Won
No$198 @ 84.1¢
Exact Score: Slavia Mozyr 4 - 5 FC Baranovichi?Won
No$163 @ 90.0¢
Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?Won
Yes$155 @ 88.7¢
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 48% to 50%?Won
Yes$359 @ 84.0¢
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$95 @ 57.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on November 5?Won
Yes$758 @ 79.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62.5B?Won
Yes$123 @ 88.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 84.6¢
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersLost
Over$8 @ 80.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 20.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$23 @ 6.7¢
Finkelstein vs. Gabelic: Match O/U 22.5Lost
Over$259 @ 25.0¢
Daniel Lukacs: 2+ shots on targetWon
No$4 @ 19.0¢
Malmesbury Victoria FC vs. Longlevens AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Won
Over$0 @ 80.1¢
Finkelstein vs. Gabelic: Match O/U 23.5Lost
Over$130 @ 25.0¢
Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna BlinkovaWon
Kaitlin Quevedo$14.5k @ 56.7¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: Tied after 5 innings?Won
No$1.2k @ 85.1¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$31 @ 8.1¢
Baltimore Orioles winning after 5 innings?Won
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?Won
Yes$995 @ 87.0¢
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026Won
OpenAI$0 @ 1.5¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Won
No$1.1k @ 62.5¢
Set Handicap: Routliffe/Sutjiadi (-1.5) vs Garland/Hsieh (+1.5)Won
Garland/Hsieh$2.8k @ 86.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢

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