← Smart money
0x720a…aa3f
SharpEdge
+24.7pp
ROI
+31%
Win rate
85% @ 60.1¢
Brier
0.093
Resolved
33
Avg size
$79
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 75% (3/4) | +37% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +37%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 3/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | No | $1.6k | 76.5¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | Yes | $774 | 67.4¢ | Won |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31? | Yes | $47 | 4.7¢ | Lost |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | Yes | $51 | 33.0¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | $55 | 3.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | Yes | $66 | 11.6¢ | Lost |
- No$1.6k @ 76.5¢
- Yes$774 @ 67.4¢
- Yes$47 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$51 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$66 @ 11.6¢
Recent trades
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