0x71ac…e8e5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x71ac8b3014dd832ad19630717fca11cb259fe8e5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+37.0pp

ROI

+55%

Win rate

82% @ 44.8¢

Brier

0.378

Resolved

Avg size

$130

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	82% (14/17)	+79%	17
Politics	33% (1/3)	-73%	3
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+38%	1

Other17 bets
Hit rate
82% (14/17)
ROI
+79%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-73%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+38%

Track record

70% hit · 16/23

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$380	59.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	$200	62.0¢	Won
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$300	3.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$190	86.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$62	82.6¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$275	54.8¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	$53	71.7¢	Won
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?	Yes	$985	24.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	$500	72.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$100	67.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$90	55.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$1.2k	65.6¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$333	76.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	$500	72.5¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?	Yes	$150	84.9¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$184	23.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	No	$299	45.5¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?	No	$800	67.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	$146	70.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	Yes	$42	15.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	$195	78.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	$83	84.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	$78	82.5¢	Won

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$380 @ 59.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Won
No$200 @ 62.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$300 @ 3.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$190 @ 86.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$62 @ 82.6¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
No$275 @ 54.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Won
No$53 @ 71.7¢
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?Won
Yes$985 @ 24.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Won
Yes$500 @ 72.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
No$100 @ 67.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$90 @ 55.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$1.2k @ 65.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$333 @ 76.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
No$500 @ 72.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Lost
Yes$150 @ 84.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$184 @ 23.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Lost
No$299 @ 45.5¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Won
No$800 @ 67.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Won
Yes$146 @ 70.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Lost
Yes$42 @ 15.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?Won
No$195 @ 78.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Lost
No$83 @ 84.0¢
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Won
No$78 @ 82.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$302	2.9¢
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$149	99.9¢
Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$149	99.9¢
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$149	99.9¢
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$149	99.9¢
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$148	99.4¢
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$148	99.1¢
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$147	98.9¢
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$146	98.3¢
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$146	97.7¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$143	95.8¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$136	91.5¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$127	85.0¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$115	77.0¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$107	72.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$47	31.7¢
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$43	29.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Politics	Yes	$26	52.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Politics	Yes	$11	22.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 6%-9%?	Politics	Yes	$11	10.5¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 6%-9%?	Politics	Yes	$9	18.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	Politics	Yes	$8	16.6¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?	Politics	Yes	$7	14.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	Politics	Yes	$7	14.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Politics	Yes	$5	9.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?	Politics	Yes	$5	9.7¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 9%-12%?	Politics	Yes	$4	8.3¢
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$4	2.5¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Politics	Yes	$3	6.6¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$3	2.0¢

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$302 @ 2.9¢
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$149 @ 99.9¢
Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$149 @ 99.9¢
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$149 @ 99.9¢
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$149 @ 99.9¢
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$148 @ 99.4¢
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$148 @ 99.1¢
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$147 @ 98.9¢
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$146 @ 98.3¢
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$146 @ 97.7¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$143 @ 95.8¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$136 @ 91.5¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$127 @ 85.0¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$115 @ 77.0¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$107 @ 72.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$47 @ 31.7¢
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$43 @ 29.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics
Yes$26 @ 52.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics
Yes$11 @ 22.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 6%-9%?Politics
Yes$11 @ 10.5¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 6%-9%?Politics
Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Politics
Yes$8 @ 16.6¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Politics
Yes$7 @ 14.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Politics
Yes$7 @ 14.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics
Yes$5 @ 9.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Politics
Yes$5 @ 9.7¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 9%-12%?Politics
Yes$4 @ 8.3¢
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$4 @ 2.5¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics
Yes$3 @ 6.6¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$3 @ 2.0¢