0x7178…7400

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x717862eecf5fb38671e4f49237481c18abb07400
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.1pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

63% @ 52.8¢

Brier

0.178

Resolved

143

Avg size

$43

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (30/52)	+80%	52
Sports	50% (20/40)	+4%	40
Politics	67% (2/3)	+41%	3
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-81%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+186%	1

Other52 bets
Hit rate
58% (30/52)
ROI
+80%
Sports40 bets
Hit rate
50% (20/40)
ROI
+4%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+41%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-81%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+186%

Track record

55% hit · 54/99

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	$2.7k	61.4¢	Won
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-10-18?	No	$154	74.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	No	$2	87.5¢	Won
Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	No	$35	77.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	69.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?	Yes	$1	89.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$101	74.0¢	Won
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$10	11.0¢	Lost
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-16?	No	$236	69.0¢	Lost
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-20?	Yes	$11	3.2¢	Lost
Will CA Atlanta win on 2026-10-16?	No	$80	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 24?	No	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	$25	68.0¢	Won
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	$33	40.1¢	Lost
Hawks vs. Spurs	Spurs	$617	73.5¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$2	18.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	Legacy	$315	27.0¢	Won
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-18?	No	$24	71.0¢	Won
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?	Yes	$1	87.0¢	Won
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?	No	$135	71.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$18	80.9¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$98	18.3¢	Lost
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19?	No	$23	68.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$20	39.0¢	Lost
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-18?	No	$25	70.0¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	$5	28.6¢	Won
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs	Nigma Galaxy	$13	33.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	ShindeN	$13	10.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 23?	No	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	$135	31.0¢	Won
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	No	$494	69.0¢	Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$4	39.0¢	Lost
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?	No	$33	76.0¢	Won
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-05?	No	$20	17.0¢	Won
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-10-18?	No	$28	73.0¢	Won
Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	No	$267	70.0¢	Won
Will Clube do Remo vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?	No	$32	74.0¢	Lost
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	$1	34.0¢	Lost
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?	No	$237	40.0¢	Lost
Will Kisvarda FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	$59	87.0¢	Won
Will FK Grobina win on 2026-08-10?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will CD Tenerife vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	No	$6	37.0¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$10	35.0¢	Won
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-10-16?	No	$201	65.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 19°C on April 24?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Lost
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia end in a draw?	No	$19	88.5¢	Lost

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Petr Yan$2.7k @ 61.4¢
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-10-18?Lost
No$154 @ 74.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Won
No$2 @ 87.5¢
Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?Won
No$35 @ 77.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 69.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 89.0¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$101 @ 74.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-16?Lost
No$236 @ 69.0¢
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-20?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.2¢
Will CA Atlanta win on 2026-10-16?Won
No$80 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 24?Lost
No$1 @ 7.0¢
Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal FightersWon
Beijing Royal Fighters$25 @ 68.0¢
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?Lost
No$33 @ 40.1¢
Hawks vs. SpursLost
Spurs$617 @ 73.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 18.8¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsWon
Legacy$315 @ 27.0¢
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-18?Won
No$24 @ 71.0¢
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 87.0¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?Won
No$135 @ 71.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$18 @ 80.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$98 @ 18.3¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19?Won
No$23 @ 68.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
Portugal$20 @ 39.0¢
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-18?Won
No$25 @ 70.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Won
No$5 @ 28.6¢
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsWon
Nigma Galaxy$13 @ 33.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageLost
ShindeN$13 @ 10.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 23?Lost
No$1 @ 0.8¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerWon
Legacy$135 @ 31.0¢
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?Lost
No$494 @ 69.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? Won
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Lost
No$4 @ 39.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?Won
No$33 @ 76.0¢
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-05?Won
No$20 @ 17.0¢
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-10-18?Won
No$28 @ 73.0¢
Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?Won
No$267 @ 70.0¢
Will Clube do Remo vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?Lost
No$32 @ 74.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Lost
No$1 @ 34.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?Lost
No$237 @ 40.0¢
Will Kisvarda FC win on 2026-10-18?Won
No$59 @ 87.0¢
Will FK Grobina win on 2026-08-10?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will CD Tenerife vs. Girona FC end in a draw?Lost
No$6 @ 37.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 35.0¢
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-10-16?Lost
No$201 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 19°C on April 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia end in a draw?Lost
No$19 @ 88.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Sports	No	$21	50.0¢

Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Sports
No$21 @ 50.0¢