0x714e…beee

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x714e1a0b7045adda39440599b768e6c5c717beee
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+5.9pp

ROI

+117%

Win rate

44% @ 38.3¢

Brier

0.262

Resolved

328

Avg size

$18

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (20/50)	+114%	50
Politics	44% (4/9)	+194%	9
Tech	50% (1/2)	+40%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other50 bets
Hit rate
40% (20/50)
ROI
+114%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
+194%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+40%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 25/62

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$29	67.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$15	39.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	$16	76.4¢	Won
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$5	5.3¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$8	11.5¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$89	5.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$74	89.0¢	Won
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	$81	50.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$6	78.0¢	Won
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	$11	42.3¢	Lost
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$43	58.4¢	Won
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	$16	18.0¢	Won
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$61	76.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$89	74.5¢	Won
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	No	$227	83.6¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	FURIA	$4	72.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$380	63.7¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$796	23.1¢	Won
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	$4	42.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$120	69.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	TheMongolz	$16	56.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	$5	0.2¢	Lost
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	$5	15.5¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$75	79.4¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$147	38.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$44	41.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	$11	43.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	$80	42.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	$80	85.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	$4	64.0¢	Lost
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$92	25.8¢	Lost
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$165	74.8¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	Yes	$231	8.8¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	$33	30.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$12	23.0¢	Lost
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$69	43.9¢	Lost
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	No	$199	10.7¢	Lost
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$74	86.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	Yes	$16	10.6¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$150	21.3¢	Lost
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	$113	24.1¢	Lost
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$53	65.3¢	Won
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$126	13.9¢	Won
Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	$80	87.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	Yes	$16	15.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	$23	69.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	$43	0.1¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$167	18.5¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	$75	64.7¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	$59	55.0¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$29 @ 67.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 39.0¢
76ers vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$16 @ 76.4¢
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 11.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$89 @ 5.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$74 @ 89.0¢
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Lost
Over$81 @ 50.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Won
No$6 @ 78.0¢
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Lost
No$11 @ 42.3¢
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Won
Yes$43 @ 58.4¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Won
No$16 @ 18.0¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$61 @ 76.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$89 @ 74.5¢
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Won
No$227 @ 83.6¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageWon
FURIA$4 @ 72.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$380 @ 63.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$796 @ 23.1¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 42.0¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$120 @ 69.0¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Lost
TheMongolz$16 @ 56.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Won
Yes$5 @ 15.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$75 @ 79.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$147 @ 38.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$44 @ 41.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerLost
TheMongolz$11 @ 43.0¢
Cavaliers vs. PistonsLost
Cavaliers$80 @ 42.0¢
Cavaliers vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$80 @ 85.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageLost
Team Falcons$4 @ 64.0¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
No$92 @ 25.8¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$165 @ 74.8¢
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$231 @ 8.8¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Lost
Yes$33 @ 30.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 23.0¢
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
No$69 @ 43.9¢
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Lost
No$199 @ 10.7¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Lost
Yes$74 @ 86.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 10.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$150 @ 21.3¢
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Lost
No$113 @ 24.1¢
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Won
Yes$53 @ 65.3¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Won
Yes$126 @ 13.9¢
Lakers vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$80 @ 87.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Lost
Yes$16 @ 15.0¢
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Lost
Under$23 @ 69.9¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerLost
FUT Esports$43 @ 0.1¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$167 @ 18.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
No$75 @ 64.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
Yes$59 @ 55.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$92	95.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$80	77.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$75	92.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$71	93.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$51	95.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$48	89.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$46	94.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$45	93.0¢
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?	Politics	No	$42	91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$35	92.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$33	63.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$31	93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$22	92.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$18	92.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	92.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$16	93.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$15	63.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$14	94.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$14	93.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$12	92.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$11	92.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$11	92.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	94.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8	93.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$7	84.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	88.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	96.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	93.8¢
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Politics	No	$4	88.7¢

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Politics
No$92 @ 95.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
No$80 @ 77.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
No$75 @ 92.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$71 @ 93.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Politics
No$51 @ 95.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$48 @ 89.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Politics
No$46 @ 94.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$45 @ 93.0¢
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?Politics
No$42 @ 91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$35 @ 92.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$33 @ 63.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$31 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$22 @ 92.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$18 @ 92.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 92.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$16 @ 93.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics
No$15 @ 63.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$14 @ 94.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$14 @ 93.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics
No$12 @ 92.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$11 @ 92.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$11 @ 92.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 94.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$8 @ 93.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Politics
No$7 @ 84.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 88.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 96.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 93.8¢
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?Politics
No$4 @ 88.7¢