0x710d…02aa

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x710dc593d792853f2c103100e7f081ffdaaa02aa
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.2pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

67% @ 59.5¢

Brier

0.172

Resolved

2302

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	69% (261/381)	+3%	381
Science	69% (54/78)	+8%	78
Crypto	54% (13/24)	+68%	24
Politics	80% (12/15)	+11%	15
Sports	30% (3/10)	-75%	10
Tech	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Business	100% (2/2)	+37%	2

Other381 bets
Hit rate
69% (261/381)
ROI
+3%
Science78 bets
Hit rate
69% (54/78)
ROI
+8%
Crypto24 bets
Hit rate
54% (13/24)
ROI
+68%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
80% (12/15)
ROI
+11%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
ROI
-75%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+37%

Track record

67% hit · 345/513

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 1?	Yes	$46	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30?	Yes	$14	91.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30?	No	$10	95.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?	Yes	$12	82.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 30?	No	$9	92.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 9?	Yes	$18	59.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?	Yes	$16	79.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 19?	No	$18	88.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 5?	No	$10	82.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 4?	No	$13	78.5¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 4?	Yes	$2	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 10?	Yes	$1	9.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?	No	$35	83.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	$25	84.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?	Yes	$28	68.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 18?	No	$0	6.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$63	63.2¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$13	65.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$6	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 12?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 7?	Yes	$3	81.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 13?	No	$17	86.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 4?	No	$18	76.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 4?	Yes	$16	62.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?	Yes	$12	61.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$102	68.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 5?	No	$13	87.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18?	Yes	$5	57.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 9?	Yes	$8	40.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?	No	$6	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?	Yes	$8	39.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?	No	$8	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	$1	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 13?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$164	50.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 10?	Yes	$7	73.5¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 17?	No	$3	6.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 8?	Yes	$8	31.6¢	Lost
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in May?	Yes	$47	71.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	$6	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 10?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 20?	Yes	$16	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	$46	85.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?	Yes	$15	36.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 20?	No	$44	83.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?	Yes	$2	36.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$3	62.0¢	Won

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 1?Won
Yes$46 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30?Won
Yes$14 @ 91.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30?Won
No$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?Won
Yes$12 @ 82.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 30?Won
No$9 @ 92.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 9?Won
Yes$18 @ 59.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?Won
Yes$16 @ 79.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 19?Won
No$18 @ 88.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 5?Lost
No$10 @ 82.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 4?Won
No$13 @ 78.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 10?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?Won
No$35 @ 83.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?Won
Yes$25 @ 84.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?Won
Yes$28 @ 68.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 18?Lost
No$0 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$63 @ 63.2¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$13 @ 65.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$6 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 12?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 7?Won
Yes$3 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 13?Won
No$17 @ 86.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 4?Won
No$18 @ 76.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 4?Lost
Yes$16 @ 62.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?Lost
Yes$12 @ 61.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$102 @ 68.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 5?Won
No$13 @ 87.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18?Won
Yes$5 @ 57.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 9?Lost
Yes$8 @ 40.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?Won
No$6 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?Won
Yes$8 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?Won
No$8 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?Won
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$164 @ 50.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 10?Won
Yes$7 @ 73.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 17?Lost
No$3 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 8?Lost
Yes$8 @ 31.6¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in May?Won
Yes$47 @ 71.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 17?Won
No$6 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 10?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 20?Won
Yes$16 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?Won
Yes$46 @ 85.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?Lost
Yes$15 @ 36.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 20?Won
No$44 @ 83.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursWon
Knicks$3 @ 62.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$205	58.6¢
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$83	8.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$57	57.2¢
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$37	67.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$25	35.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$22	27.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	Science	No	$19	95.5¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	9.9¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in October?	Business	Yes	$8	81.0¢
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$7	13.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	—	Yes	$6	63.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Business	Yes	$5	51.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	Business	Yes	$2	48.0¢

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$205 @ 58.6¢
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$83 @ 8.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$57 @ 57.2¢
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$37 @ 67.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$25 @ 35.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$22 @ 27.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?Science
No$19 @ 95.5¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 9.9¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in October?Business
Yes$8 @ 81.0¢
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$7 @ 13.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?—
Yes$6 @ 63.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?Business
Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?Business
Yes$2 @ 48.0¢