← Smart money
0x7011…c6da
ProfitableEdge
+5.8pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
52% @ 46.5¢
Brier
0.164
Resolved
2198
Avg size
$551
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (125/235) | +12% | 235 |
| Sports | 58% (67/115) | -11% | 115 |
| Politics | 100% (4/4) | +166% | 4 |
| Culture | 50% (2/4) | +1% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other235 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (125/235)
- ROI
- +12%
- Sports115 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (67/115)
- ROI
- -11%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +166%
- Culture4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +1%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
55% hit · 199/360- Karmine Corp$1.2k @ 40.1¢
- No$52 @ 52.0¢
- Seahawks$1.9k @ 56.0¢
- No$28 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$430 @ 5.0¢
- No$22 @ 24.3¢
- Seahawks$1.3k @ 72.0¢
- Lions$359 @ 45.0¢
- T1 Academy$3.4k @ 45.1¢
- Saints$555 @ 40.0¢
- Argentina$4.3k @ 75.2¢
- No$2.5k @ 88.5¢
- Chiefs$75 @ 68.0¢
- Seahawks$5.7k @ 58.0¢
- BNK FEARX$2.0k @ 79.9¢
- Texas Tech$20.3k @ 57.4¢
- No$93.6k @ 58.1¢
- Yes$71.5k @ 26.0¢
- No$933 @ 84.0¢
- JD Gaming$1.4k @ 64.0¢
- Eagles$391 @ 55.0¢
- Steelers$226 @ 63.0¢
- Seahawks$2.3k @ 55.2¢
- No$258 @ 20.4¢
- No$4.1k @ 35.3¢
- No$241 @ 1.2¢
- Indiana$2.2k @ 73.4¢
- No$438 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$172 @ 87.4¢
- Cowboys$3.2k @ 59.9¢
- Iowa Hawkeyes$73 @ 68.0¢
- FURIA Esports$1.3k @ 60.0¢
- T1 Academy$62 @ 26.9¢
- Florida$772 @ 57.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 84.2¢
- Morocco$1.0k @ 67.0¢
- Texas$76 @ 41.7¢
- No$1.4k @ 83.4¢
- Cloud9$4 @ 39.0¢
- No$1 @ 3.5¢
- T1$1.5k @ 38.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 80.2¢
- Yes$242 @ 8.0¢
- T1 Academy$509 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$317 @ 37.3¢
- Sentinels$55 @ 61.9¢
- Ohio State$2.9k @ 85.0¢
- No$12 @ 70.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | Sports | FURIA Esports | $2.2k | 74.9¢ |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | Sports | Karmine Corp | $1.2k | 40.1¢ |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31? | Crypto | Yes | $850 | 75.0¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $544 | 68.0¢ |
| Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5) | Sports | FURIA Esports | $329 | 57.9¢ |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner | Sports | FURIA Esports | $178 | 64.0¢ |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | Crypto | Yes | $154 | 86.6¢ |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5 | Sports | Under | $28 | 66.6¢ |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 | Sports | Under | $0 | 0.0¢ |
- FURIA Esports$2.2k @ 74.9¢
- Karmine Corp$1.2k @ 40.1¢
- Yes$850 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$544 @ 68.0¢
- FURIA Esports$329 @ 57.9¢
- FURIA Esports$178 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$154 @ 86.6¢
- Under$28 @ 66.6¢
- Under$0 @ 0.0¢