← Smart money
0x6ffb…a834
SharpEdge
+10.9pp
ROI
+52%
Win rate
31% @ 20.3¢
Brier
0.172
Resolved
308
Avg size
$379
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 39% (48/123) | +4% | 123 |
| Other | 67% (80/119) | -13% | 119 |
| Sports | 51% (19/37) | +5% | 37 |
| Geopolitics | 17% (4/24) | -5% | 24 |
| Crypto | 57% (4/7) | -43% | 7 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (2/2) | +15% | 2 |
| Culture | 100% (2/2) | +39% | 2 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics123 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (48/123)
- ROI
- +4%
- Other119 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (80/119)
- ROI
- -13%
- Sports37 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (19/37)
- ROI
- +5%
- Geopolitics24 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (4/24)
- ROI
- -5%
- Crypto7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- -43%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +15%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +39%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 159/317- No$32 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$238 @ 97.6¢
- No$50 @ 90.4¢
- Yes$513 @ 88.5¢
- Yes$680 @ 34.0¢
- Saigon Dino$60 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$194 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$70.1k @ 99.1¢
- Laura Mair$37 @ 94.4¢
- No$105 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$235 @ 98.1¢
- Yes$315 @ 98.2¢
- Yes$265 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 99.2¢
- Yes$235 @ 98.7¢
- No$1.1k @ 99.1¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$266 @ 98.2¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 98.0¢
- Yes$335 @ 99.0¢
- No$10 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$3.8k @ 94.0¢
- Yes$26.5k @ 98.9¢
- No$1.6k @ 53.8¢
- Yes$103 @ 99.1¢
- Genaro Alberto Olivieri$488 @ 54.8¢
- Yes$28.7k @ 93.3¢
- No$7.0k @ 97.8¢
- Yes$272 @ 28.5¢
- Yes$228 @ 96.0¢
- No$9.4k @ 99.6¢
- No$67 @ 97.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 4.9¢
- No$240 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$550 @ 22.0¢
- No$720 @ 36.0¢
- No$53 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$330 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 7.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 24.7¢
- No$280 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$374 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$112 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$145 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$260 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$189 @ 7.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$94.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$94.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$42.8k @ 66.7¢
- Yes$11.0k @ 11.0¢
- Yes$700 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$549 @ 9.9¢
- Yes$490 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$480 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$469 @ 21.3¢
- Yes$393 @ 15.8¢
- No$322 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$320 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$320 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$319 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$280 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$141 @ 54.6¢
- Yes$123 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 11.9¢
- Yes$100 @ 1.0¢
- No$65 @ 13.0¢
- No$32 @ 7.2¢
- No$24 @ 19.4¢
- Yes$22 @ 8.0¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsYes$2 @ 4.9¢