← Smart money
0x6ffb…a834
SharpROI
+12%
Win rate
16%
Brier
0.074
Resolved
381
Avg size
$203
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% (5/5) | +3% | 5 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | -0% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +1% | 1 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +2% | 1 |
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (5/5)
- ROI
- +3%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -0%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +2%
Track record
89% hit · 8/9| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce Pete Hoekstra as the next Director of National Intelligence? | No | $204 | 97.7¢ | Won |
| Will Trump announce Tom Cotton as the next Director of National Intelligence? | No | $4.2k | 98.7¢ | Won |
| Will Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026? | No | $7.5k | 97.0¢ | Won |
| Will Manuel Flavio Minervini win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election? | Yes | $152 | 98.1¢ | Won |
| Birmingham (Doubles): Chandrasekar/Yuzuki vs Hidalgo/Trhac | Chandrasekar/Yuzuki | $89 | 76.7¢ | Won |
| Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | Yes | $495 | 99.0¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $19.8k | 98.8¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $276 | 13.8¢ | Lost |
| ITF Bol: Tiago Pereira vs Alan Wazny | Tiago Pereira | $165 | 98.0¢ | Won |
- No$204 @ 97.7¢
- No$4.2k @ 98.7¢
- No$7.5k @ 97.0¢
- Yes$152 @ 98.1¢
- Chandrasekar/Yuzuki$89 @ 76.7¢
- Yes$495 @ 99.0¢
- No$19.8k @ 98.8¢
- Yes$276 @ 13.8¢
- Tiago Pereira$165 @ 98.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$72.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$72.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$72.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$72.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$72.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$72.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$11.0k @ 11.0¢
- Yes$490 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$480 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
- No$58 @ 7.0¢
- No$43 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$34 @ 96.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 0.3¢
- No$24 @ 19.4¢