← Smart money
0x6fca…7477
SharpEdge
+5.6pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
25% @ 19.5¢
Brier
0.128
Resolved
1414
Avg size
$22
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 38% (36/94) | +4% | 94 |
| Sports | 0% (0/11) | -100% | 11 |
| Politics | 78% (7/9) | +70% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other94 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (36/94)
- ROI
- +4%
- Sports11 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/11)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +70%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
37% hit · 43/115- No$266 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$595 @ 37.2¢
- No$280 @ 70.0¢
- No$620 @ 31.0¢
- No$239 @ 73.2¢
- Yes$21 @ 21.0¢
- No$78 @ 39.0¢
- No$308 @ 30.9¢
- Thunder$60 @ 68.7¢
- No$202 @ 55.8¢
- Yes$321 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$472 @ 21.2¢
- No$300 @ 71.0¢
- Knicks vs. SpursLostSpurs$51 @ 68.0¢
- No$428 @ 57.2¢
- No$350 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$524 @ 24.0¢
- No$22 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$305 @ 38.1¢
- No$168 @ 47.9¢
- No$120 @ 54.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 55.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
- No$130 @ 56.0¢
- No$545 @ 54.5¢
- No$248 @ 55.0¢
- Magic vs. KnicksLostMagic$37 @ 37.0¢
- Nuggets vs. SunsLostSuns$20 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.8¢
- Bucks$20 @ 24.0¢
- No$289 @ 17.0¢
- No$186 @ 63.5¢
- No$18 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$661 @ 17.5¢
- Rico$506 @ 49.8¢
- No$50 @ 50.0¢
- No$12 @ 40.0¢
- No$507 @ 58.3¢
- No$51 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$360 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
- No$216 @ 54.0¢
- No$140 @ 32.8¢
- Yes$192 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
- No$198 @ 64.6¢
- No$300 @ 50.8¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 25.0¢
- No$70 @ 56.6¢
- Yes$390 @ 4.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $485 | 67.1¢ |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $356 | 55.8¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $215 | 43.1¢ |
- No$485 @ 67.1¢
- No$356 @ 55.8¢
- No$215 @ 43.1¢