0x6f2a…de7d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6f2a0d4ff16a3ef378a65c62d20cde974578de7d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.6pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

24% @ 17.7¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

1913

Avg size

$13

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	17% (35/203)	+3%	203
Crypto	25% (37/149)	+31%	149
Business	24% (13/54)	-13%	54
Sports	26% (13/50)	-31%	50
Politics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other203 bets
Hit rate
17% (35/203)
ROI
+3%
Crypto149 bets
Hit rate
25% (37/149)
ROI
+31%
Business54 bets
Hit rate
24% (13/54)
ROI
-13%
Sports50 bets
Hit rate
26% (13/50)
ROI
-31%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

21% hit · 98/461

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?	No	$331	40.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	$19	11.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	$103	10.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?	Yes	$33	30.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	Yes	$57	28.5¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	$78	21.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	Yes	$149	8.6¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?	No	$52	12.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	No	$38	38.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?	Yes	$62	6.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	No	$52	3.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6?	Yes	$16	3.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	$22	8.6¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$39	19.4¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$130	26.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2?	Yes	$107	16.5¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	$90	19.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	Yes	$16	5.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 19?	Yes	$4	4.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 1?	Yes	$34	2.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?	No	$143	31.0¢	Won
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 15?	No	$28	2.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16?	Yes	$186	20.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	No	$6	4.9¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 27?	No	$212	31.9¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?	Yes	$106	26.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 30?	Yes	$108	7.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?	No	$146	28.2¢	Lost
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	$261	26.5¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	$102	20.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	$57	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	$421	32.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?	No	$194	13.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	$67	6.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	$60	35.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$119	24.3¢	Won
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 20?	No	$12	3.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 21?	Yes	$2	2.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?	Yes	$27	6.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	$20	2.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	No	$317	13.9¢	Won
Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	$16	14.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	$382	22.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?	No	$207	12.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 27?	Yes	$53	34.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?	No	$99	30.0¢	Lost
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	$30	29.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	Yes	$124	7.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	$435	32.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?	No	$50	5.3¢	Lost

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?Lost
No$331 @ 40.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17?Lost
Yes$19 @ 11.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7?Lost
Yes$103 @ 10.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?Won
Yes$33 @ 30.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?Lost
Yes$57 @ 28.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 5 2026?Lost
Yes$78 @ 21.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?Lost
Yes$149 @ 8.6¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?Won
No$52 @ 12.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?Won
No$38 @ 38.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?Lost
Yes$62 @ 6.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?Lost
No$52 @ 3.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6?Won
Yes$16 @ 3.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?Won
Yes$22 @ 8.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$39 @ 19.4¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$130 @ 26.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2?Won
Yes$107 @ 16.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?Lost
Yes$90 @ 19.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?Lost
Yes$16 @ 5.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 19?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 1?Lost
Yes$34 @ 2.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?Won
No$143 @ 31.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 15?Lost
No$28 @ 2.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16?Lost
Yes$186 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?Lost
No$6 @ 4.9¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 27?Won
No$212 @ 31.9¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?Lost
Yes$106 @ 26.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 30?Lost
Yes$108 @ 7.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?Lost
No$146 @ 28.2¢
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs IndiaWon
India$261 @ 26.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of September 14 2026?Lost
Yes$102 @ 20.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Lost
Yes$57 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?Lost
No$421 @ 32.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?Won
No$194 @ 13.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?Lost
No$67 @ 6.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?Won
Yes$60 @ 35.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?Won
Yes$119 @ 24.3¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 20?Lost
No$12 @ 3.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?Lost
Yes$27 @ 6.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?Won
No$317 @ 13.9¢
Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Lost
Yes$16 @ 14.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?Won
No$382 @ 22.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?Won
No$207 @ 12.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 27?Won
Yes$53 @ 34.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?Lost
No$99 @ 30.0¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?Lost
Yes$30 @ 29.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Lost
Yes$124 @ 7.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?Lost
No$435 @ 32.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?Lost
No$50 @ 5.3¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$1.0k	12.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$960	15.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$835	11.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	Business	Yes	$246	20.7¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	Business	Yes	$178	15.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	Crypto	No	$168	11.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	Crypto	No	$160	17.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$118	31.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$115	8.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Business	Yes	$99	24.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	Crypto	No	$94	4.2¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	Business	No	$93	31.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$63	44.4¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$57	13.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 29?	Crypto	No	$51	12.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$51	27.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?	Business	Yes	$49	4.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$43	18.6¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$43	42.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$40	7.6¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$40	15.3¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?	Business	No	$28	23.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Crypto	Yes	$26	5.8¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 29?	Business	No	$17	5.3¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Other	Down	$12	55.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$11	21.0¢

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$1.0k @ 12.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$960 @ 15.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$835 @ 11.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?Business
Yes$246 @ 20.7¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?Business
Yes$178 @ 15.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?Crypto
No$168 @ 11.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?Crypto
No$160 @ 17.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$118 @ 31.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$115 @ 8.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?Business
Yes$99 @ 24.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?Crypto
No$94 @ 4.2¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?Business
No$93 @ 31.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$63 @ 44.4¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$57 @ 13.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 29?Crypto
No$51 @ 12.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$51 @ 27.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?Business
Yes$49 @ 4.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$43 @ 18.6¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$43 @ 42.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$40 @ 7.6¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$40 @ 15.3¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?Business
No$28 @ 23.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?Crypto
Yes$26 @ 5.8¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 29?Business
No$17 @ 5.3¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?Other
Down$12 @ 55.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$11 @ 21.0¢