0x6e5f…9d60

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6e5f96b6b1cee2a349a34726dd653e0fb6029d60
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.7pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

71% @ 57.9¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

558

Avg size

$42

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (85/135)	+13%	135
Politics	71% (5/7)	+5%	7
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other135 bets
Hit rate
63% (85/135)
ROI
+13%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
+5%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

64% hit · 91/143

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?	No	$47	86.0¢	Won
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?	Yes	$23	38.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	$59	2.9¢	Lost
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	No	$7	1.3¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?	No	$50	88.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	No	$60	43.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 21?	No	$38	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$635	86.1¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$300	61.0¢	Won
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$180	55.9¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?	No	$39	38.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?	Yes	$6	62.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$139	88.0¢	Won
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?	Yes	$27	26.7¢	Lost
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$10	71.2¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?	No	$12	4.1¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?	Yes	$80	79.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?	No	$324	84.0¢	Won
Yoon arrested by January 31?	Yes	$158	72.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?	No	$100	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?	Yes	$27	26.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$124	84.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $82000 on April 4?	Yes	$331	85.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?	No	$50	87.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?	No	$60	60.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?	No	$150	69.1¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?	Yes	$109	15.2¢	Lost
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?	Yes	$20	6.3¢	Lost
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?	No	$1.2k	58.2¢	Won
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?	Yes	$10	82.0¢	Won
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?	No	$383	88.0¢	Won
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?	Yes	$5	21.2¢	Won
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	$137	84.7¢	Won
Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?	No	$95	88.0¢	Won
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?	Yes	$1	86.3¢	Won
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?	No	$3	41.0¢	Won
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?	Yes	$299	83.6¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$97	80.0¢	Won
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?	No	$81	80.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?	No	$288	80.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by February 28?	No	$87	87.2¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	$60	76.8¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?	No	$200	45.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	No	$91	50.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?	No	$381	71.7¢	Lost
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?	No	$10	24.0¢	Lost
US military action against Iran before July?	No	$372	53.3¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?	No	$392	82.5¢	Won

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Won
No$47 @ 86.0¢
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Lost
Yes$23 @ 38.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Lost
No$59 @ 2.9¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Lost
No$7 @ 1.3¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?Won
No$50 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Won
No$60 @ 43.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 21?Won
No$38 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
No$635 @ 86.1¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
No$300 @ 61.0¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$180 @ 55.9¢
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Lost
No$39 @ 38.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?Won
Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
No$139 @ 88.0¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Lost
Yes$27 @ 26.7¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Lost
Yes$10 @ 71.2¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Lost
No$12 @ 4.1¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Won
Yes$80 @ 79.9¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Won
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Won
No$324 @ 84.0¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Won
Yes$158 @ 72.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?Won
Yes$27 @ 26.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$124 @ 84.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $82000 on April 4?Won
Yes$331 @ 85.0¢
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Won
No$50 @ 87.5¢
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Lost
No$60 @ 60.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Won
No$150 @ 69.1¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Lost
Yes$109 @ 15.2¢
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Lost
Yes$20 @ 6.3¢
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Won
No$1.2k @ 58.2¢
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Won
Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?Won
No$383 @ 88.0¢
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?Won
Yes$5 @ 21.2¢
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Won
Yes$137 @ 84.7¢
Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?Won
No$95 @ 88.0¢
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Won
Yes$1 @ 86.3¢
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Won
No$3 @ 41.0¢
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Lost
Yes$299 @ 83.6¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$97 @ 80.0¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Won
No$81 @ 80.7¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Won
No$288 @ 80.0¢
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by February 28?Won
No$87 @ 87.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
No$60 @ 76.8¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Lost
No$200 @ 45.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Lost
No$91 @ 50.8¢
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?Lost
No$381 @ 71.7¢
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?Lost
No$10 @ 24.0¢
US military action against Iran before July?Lost
No$372 @ 53.3¢
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?Won
No$392 @ 82.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$270	73.7¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$163	87.8¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Politics	Yes	$61	87.6¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$15	95.0¢
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$6	64.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$4	70.0¢

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Geopolitics
No$270 @ 73.7¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$163 @ 87.8¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics
Yes$61 @ 87.6¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics
No$15 @ 95.0¢
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Geopolitics
No$6 @ 64.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢