← Smart money
0x6df1…ea12
SharpEdge
+2.3pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
40% @ 37.2¢
Brier
0.141
Resolved
3452
Avg size
$130
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (90/165) | +9% | 165 |
| Sports | 52% (16/31) | +9% | 31 |
| Politics | 50% (10/20) | -1% | 20 |
| Geopolitics | 43% (3/7) | -5% | 7 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +45% | 1 |
- Other165 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (90/165)
- ROI
- +9%
- Sports31 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (16/31)
- ROI
- +9%
- Politics20 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (10/20)
- ROI
- -1%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- -5%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +45%
Track record
54% hit · 120/224- No$200 @ 52.4¢
- Yes$80 @ 40.6¢
- No$1 @ 46.9¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 68.0¢
- No$300 @ 37.6¢
- Yes$537 @ 38.3¢
- Yes$8.0k @ 8.4¢
- Over$1.7k @ 55.7¢
- No$1.7k @ 42.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 40.8¢
- Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)LostYes$243 @ 69.9¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 23.0¢
- No$9.7k @ 88.0¢
- No$242 @ 88.2¢
- Yes$611 @ 44.9¢
- No$1.3k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 26.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 8.0¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 63.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 35.8¢
- No$1.5k @ 60.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 50.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 49.1¢
- No$1.0k @ 60.1¢
- Over$8 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$663 @ 22.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 64.2¢
- Over$1.6k @ 54.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 60.6¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 70.6¢
- No$1.6k @ 78.4¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 25.9¢
- Yes$200 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$988 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$167 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 10.0¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 8.3¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 80.0¢
- Over$1.3k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 71.0¢
- Crystal Palace FC$11 @ 53.0¢
- No$951 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 12.5¢
- No$2.8k @ 28.0¢
- Yes$12.3k @ 81.5¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 1.4¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $15.7k | 52.1¢ |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $12.3k | 49.0¢ |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | No | $5.3k | 80.7¢ |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $4.5k | 9.0¢ |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $1.5k | 7.7¢ |
- Yes$15.7k @ 52.1¢
- Yes$12.3k @ 49.0¢
- No$5.3k @ 80.7¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 9.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 7.7¢