0x6dd9…8cc1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6dd9d5a1fe8021317c477104a0131205ecda8cc1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.9pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

87% @ 76.0¢

Brier

0.104

Resolved

410

Avg size

$713

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	82% (86/105)	+18%	105
Politics	76% (13/17)	+22%	17
Sports	33% (1/3)	-38%	3
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+7%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+2%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other105 bets
Hit rate
82% (86/105)
ROI
+18%
Politics17 bets
Hit rate
76% (13/17)
ROI
+22%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-38%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+7%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+2%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Track record

81% hit · 104/129

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	$10	94.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	66.0¢	Won
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	$1	72.0¢	Won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$206	1.9¢	Lost
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$100	19.0¢	Lost
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$300	89.2¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$1.5k	85.9¢	Won
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	$2.2k	83.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$10	84.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$300	89.0¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$2.6k	81.8¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$2.5k	88.1¢	Won
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$90	89.2¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$310	86.3¢	Won
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	$680	84.1¢	Won
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	$110	82.7¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$1	79.0¢	Won
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	$200	85.8¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	$200	73.4¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	Yes	$60	89.7¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.7k	85.5¢	Won
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	$1	66.0¢	Won
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	$7.2k	82.4¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$200	90.0¢	Won
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$1.0k	88.6¢	Won
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	$2.1k	88.1¢	Won
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$354	41.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$1	79.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?	Yes	$2.0k	66.1¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$5	85.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	$300	88.0¢	Won
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	$8.6k	82.9¢	Won
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	$10	85.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	$300	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$300	88.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	No	$1.9k	76.0¢	Won
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	$6.0k	74.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$750	80.3¢	Won
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?	Yes	$200	89.9¢	Won
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	No	$100	89.0¢	Won
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	$10	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?	No	$100	84.0¢	Won
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	83.0¢	Won
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?	No	$300	85.8¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	$2.7k	80.8¢	Won
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	$200	84.9¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1000	66.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?	No	$854	87.2¢	Won
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	$100	89.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	68.0¢	Won

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 94.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$1 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 72.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$206 @ 1.9¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
No$100 @ 19.0¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
No$300 @ 89.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$1.5k @ 85.9¢
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
No$2.2k @ 83.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 84.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$300 @ 89.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 81.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
No$2.5k @ 88.1¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$90 @ 89.2¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Won
No$310 @ 86.3¢
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
No$680 @ 84.1¢
Will Putin visit China by May 31?Won
Yes$110 @ 82.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 79.0¢
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Won
Gold$200 @ 85.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 73.4¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?Lost
Yes$60 @ 89.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 85.5¢
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?Won
Yes$1 @ 66.0¢
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
No$7.2k @ 82.4¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
No$200 @ 90.0¢
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Won
No$1.0k @ 88.6¢
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 88.1¢
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
No$354 @ 41.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 79.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 66.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 85.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 88.0¢
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
No$8.6k @ 82.9¢
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?Won
Yes$10 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$300 @ 88.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Won
No$1.9k @ 76.0¢
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Lost
Yes$6.0k @ 74.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$750 @ 80.3¢
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?Won
Yes$200 @ 89.9¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Won
No$100 @ 89.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Won
No$100 @ 84.0¢
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 83.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 85.8¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 80.8¢
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
No$200 @ 84.9¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?Won
No$854 @ 87.2¢
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
No$100 @ 89.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 68.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$1.3k	93.5¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$275	66.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$9	85.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$1.3k @ 93.5¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$275 @ 66.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$9 @ 85.0¢