0x6db9…4ab5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6db983ff1cbc85249e64e6ccd101aaa613ba4ab5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.1pp

ROI

+69%

Win rate

27% @ 21.1¢

Brier

0.106

Resolved

1852

Avg size

$195

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	11% (5/44)	-3%	44
Other	45% (17/38)	+79%	38
Crypto	56% (5/9)	+150%	9
Politics	50% (2/4)	+11%	4
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-50%	3

Sports44 bets
Hit rate
11% (5/44)
ROI
-3%
Other38 bets
Hit rate
45% (17/38)
ROI
+79%
Crypto9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
+150%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+11%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-50%

Track record

31% hit · 30/98

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$14.8k	68.3¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$27.7k	20.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$3.5k	37.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$17.2k	32.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$1.5k	11.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	No	$2.5k	52.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$2.3k	57.2¢	Won
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$1.4k	45.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	$4.6k	30.0¢	Won
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$4.3k	45.1¢	Won
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13.3k	2.1¢	Lost
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$183	41.0¢	Lost
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$138	80.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$18.5k	14.6¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$634	3.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	$162	1.1¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.9k	1.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	$8.3k	87.7¢	Won
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$3.8k	7.9¢	Lost
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	$7.1k	79.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	$3.4k	58.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	$1.3k	2.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	Yes	$3.3k	29.0¢	Won
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$804	0.8¢	Lost
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals	No	$4.8k	87.1¢	Won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5	Over	$22	1.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	Yes	$508	9.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$50.8k	22.7¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$60	0.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$12.5k	71.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	No	$5.5k	10.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	Yes	$5.3k	16.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	$6.8k	62.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	$531	4.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$449	45.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$6.9k	50.1¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$2.4k	26.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6.2k	35.4¢	Won
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Under	$1.3k	23.8¢	Lost
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$18	0.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	$300	2.5¢	Lost
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	$1.7k	18.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	$716	42.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$48.2k	17.4¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$8.2k	18.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	$7.8k	89.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	Yes	$701	7.0¢	Lost
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$335	6.7¢	Won

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$14.8k @ 68.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$27.7k @ 20.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$3.5k @ 37.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$17.2k @ 32.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 11.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Won
No$2.5k @ 52.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Won
No$2.3k @ 57.2¢
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$1.4k @ 45.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Won
Yes$4.6k @ 30.0¢
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 45.1¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$13.3k @ 2.1¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$183 @ 41.0¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$138 @ 80.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$18.5k @ 14.6¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$634 @ 3.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Lost
Yes$162 @ 1.1¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 1.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Won
No$8.3k @ 87.7¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Lost
Yes$3.8k @ 7.9¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Won
No$7.1k @ 79.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Won
No$3.4k @ 58.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 2.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Won
Yes$3.3k @ 29.0¢
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$804 @ 0.8¢
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsWon
No$4.8k @ 87.1¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$22 @ 1.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?Lost
Yes$508 @ 9.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$50.8k @ 22.7¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$60 @ 0.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$12.5k @ 71.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?Won
No$5.5k @ 10.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?Lost
Yes$5.3k @ 16.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Won
No$6.8k @ 62.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Lost
Yes$531 @ 4.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$449 @ 45.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$6.9k @ 50.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$2.4k @ 26.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$6.2k @ 35.4¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$1.3k @ 23.8¢
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$18 @ 0.8¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?Lost
Yes$300 @ 2.5¢
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 18.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?Lost
No$716 @ 42.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$48.2k @ 17.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$8.2k @ 18.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?Won
No$7.8k @ 89.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?Lost
Yes$701 @ 7.0¢
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$335 @ 6.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$50.2k	95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$33.6k	84.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$29.5k	69.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$20.9k	68.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$14.8k	74.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$14.5k	15.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$12.8k	11.2¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$12.0k	75.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$11.8k	98.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$11.3k	95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$10.9k	40.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$8.1k	90.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$7.3k	95.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$7.1k	71.2¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$6.3k	35.2¢
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$6.1k	84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$5.9k	19.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$5.9k	97.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$5.9k	98.2¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$5.8k	11.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$5.7k	56.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Crypto	No	$5.2k	73.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$5.0k	99.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5.0k	27.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4.8k	65.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$4.8k	96.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4.3k	90.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$3.9k	6.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$3.9k	95.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3.6k	31.3¢

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$50.2k @ 95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$33.6k @ 84.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$29.5k @ 69.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$20.9k @ 68.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$14.8k @ 74.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$14.5k @ 15.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$12.8k @ 11.2¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$12.0k @ 75.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$11.8k @ 98.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$11.3k @ 95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$10.9k @ 40.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$8.1k @ 90.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$7.3k @ 95.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$7.1k @ 71.2¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$6.3k @ 35.2¢
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$6.1k @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Crypto
Yes$5.9k @ 19.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$5.9k @ 97.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$5.9k @ 98.2¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$5.8k @ 11.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$5.7k @ 56.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?Crypto
No$5.2k @ 73.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$5.0k @ 99.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$5.0k @ 27.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4.8k @ 65.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$4.8k @ 96.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4.3k @ 90.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Crypto
Yes$3.9k @ 6.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$3.9k @ 95.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3.6k @ 31.3¢