0x6db9…4ab5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6db983ff1cbc85249e64e6ccd101aaa613ba4ab5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-10.9pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

9% @ 20.1¢

Brier

0.100

Resolved

5276

Avg size

$71

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	8% (19/252)	-35%	252
Sports	9% (10/112)	-12%	112
Crypto	20% (9/44)	+21%	44
Politics	15% (6/41)	-41%	41
Geopolitics	13% (1/8)	-96%	8
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other252 bets
Hit rate
8% (19/252)
ROI
-35%
Sports112 bets
Hit rate
9% (10/112)
ROI
-12%
Crypto44 bets
Hit rate
20% (9/44)
ROI
+21%
Politics41 bets
Hit rate
15% (6/41)
ROI
-41%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-96%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

10% hit · 45/458

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	No	$4.6k	52.3¢	Lost
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?	No	$45.0k	90.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$3.2k	18.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in August?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?	No	$32.1k	95.0¢	Lost
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$1.6k	32.0¢	Lost
IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: IK Sirius O/U 1.5	Under	$46	31.0¢	Lost
FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Team to Advance	Rams Başakşehir FK	$47	70.0¢	Lost
Will FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?	Yes	$2.8k	19.2¢	Lost
Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-2.5)	Rams Başakşehir FK	$23	13.0¢	Lost
Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	$4.6k	30.7¢	Lost
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-30?	No	$2.2k	11.6¢	Lost
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots	Yes	$9	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	$1.0k	7.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	$1.6k	27.0¢	Lost
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots	No	$761	11.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	$2.6k	13.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	$210	16.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao?	Yes	$47	4.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?	No	$2.4k	87.0¢	Lost
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$3.0k	8.4¢	Lost
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$58	1.6¢	Lost
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$7	3.6¢	Lost
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$22	0.4¢	Lost
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$735	3.1¢	Lost
Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$255	0.9¢	Lost
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	$110	38.1¢	Lost
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	$221	12.4¢	Lost
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$19	3.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	$30	4.2¢	Lost
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$18	41.0¢	Lost
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$484	56.8¢	Lost
Will Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	$11	29.0¢	Lost
Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?	Yes	$120	8.8¢	Lost
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$838	32.4¢	Lost
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$873	5.9¢	Lost
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$422	82.3¢	Lost
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$30	3.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	$722	56.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 0 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	$82	2.1¢	Lost
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$78	1.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	Yes	$211	0.2¢	Lost
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	$1.2k	1.4¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$123	23.8¢	Lost
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$132	4.6¢	Lost
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$661	17.4¢	Lost
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	$79	11.3¢	Lost
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	$10	0.5¢	Lost
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$13	26.0¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Lost
No$4.6k @ 52.3¢
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Lost
No$45.0k @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$3.2k @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in August?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?Lost
No$32.1k @ 95.0¢
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 32.0¢
IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Lost
Under$46 @ 31.0¢
FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Team to AdvanceLost
Rams Başakşehir FK$47 @ 70.0¢
Will FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 19.2¢
Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-2.5)Lost
Rams Başakşehir FK$23 @ 13.0¢
Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-07-30?Lost
Yes$4.6k @ 30.7¢
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-30?Lost
No$2.2k @ 11.6¢
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shotsLost
Yes$9 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 27.0¢
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shotsLost
No$761 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 13.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETLost
Up$210 @ 16.4¢
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$47 @ 4.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?Lost
No$2.4k @ 87.0¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 8.4¢
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$58 @ 1.6¢
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.6¢
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$22 @ 0.4¢
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$735 @ 3.1¢
Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$255 @ 0.9¢
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Lost
Yes$110 @ 38.1¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Lost
No$221 @ 12.4¢
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$19 @ 3.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 4.2¢
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Lost
Yes$18 @ 41.0¢
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Lost
No$484 @ 56.8¢
Will Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?Lost
No$11 @ 29.0¢
Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?Lost
Yes$120 @ 8.8¢
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Lost
No$838 @ 32.4¢
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Lost
No$873 @ 5.9¢
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Lost
No$422 @ 82.3¢
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 3.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?Lost
Yes$722 @ 56.0¢
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 0 Aston Villa FC?Lost
Yes$82 @ 2.1¢
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Lost
Yes$78 @ 1.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?Lost
Yes$211 @ 0.2¢
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 1.4¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$123 @ 23.8¢
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$132 @ 4.6¢
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Lost
No$661 @ 17.4¢
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Lost
No$79 @ 11.3¢
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 PGA Championship?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 26.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$50.2k	95.0¢
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?	—	No	$45.0k	90.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$36.9k	13.3¢
Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?	—	No	$32.1k	95.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$30.0k	1.8¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$28.9k	5.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$18.4k	10.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$18.0k	14.6¢
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$15.5k	0.2¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$13.1k	85.9¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$12.0k	75.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$11.8k	98.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$11.3k	95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$10.9k	40.3¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$10.7k	37.9¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$10.5k	0.4¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Politics	No	$9.4k	10.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$8.1k	90.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$7.6k	5.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$7.4k	19.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$7.4k	1.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Crypto	Yes	$7.2k	12.2¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	—	Yes	$6.7k	6.6¢
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$6.1k	84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	Crypto	Yes	$6.0k	18.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$5.9k	97.8¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$5.8k	11.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$5.7k	21.7¢
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5.6k	0.3¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$5.6k	39.8¢

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$50.2k @ 95.0¢
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?—
No$45.0k @ 90.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$36.9k @ 13.3¢
Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?—
No$32.1k @ 95.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$30.0k @ 1.8¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$28.9k @ 5.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$18.4k @ 10.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$18.0k @ 14.6¢
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$15.5k @ 0.2¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$13.1k @ 85.9¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$12.0k @ 75.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$11.8k @ 98.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$11.3k @ 95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$10.9k @ 40.3¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$10.7k @ 37.9¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$10.5k @ 0.4¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics
No$9.4k @ 10.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$8.1k @ 90.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$7.6k @ 5.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$7.4k @ 19.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$7.4k @ 1.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Crypto
Yes$7.2k @ 12.2¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?—
Yes$6.7k @ 6.6¢
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$6.1k @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Crypto
Yes$6.0k @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$5.9k @ 97.8¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$5.8k @ 11.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$5.7k @ 21.7¢
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$5.6k @ 0.3¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$5.6k @ 39.8¢