0x6d9c…26df

Specialization by sphere

• Other82 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (52/82)

  ROI

  +41%

• Will Uber say "Lucid" during earnings call?Won
  No$4 @ 80.0¢
• Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Won
  No$30 @ 88.2¢
• Up Only podcast released by November 30?Won
  No$30 @ 47.9¢
• Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?Lost
  Yes$38 @ 62.3¢
• US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
  No$31 @ 55.6¢
• Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Won
  No$15 @ 61.0¢
• Will Trump say "Best Equipment" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Won
  No$29 @ 57.0¢
• Will Trump say "Boeing" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Won
  No$30 @ 60.0¢
• Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?Won
  Yes$42 @ 70.3¢
• Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Lost
  No$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?Lost
  No$10 @ 59.0¢
• Grokipedia released by October 31?Lost
  No$4 @ 20.0¢
• Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during speech on October 14?Lost
  No$11 @ 29.9¢
• Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?Lost
  No$10 @ 67.0¢
• Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Lost
  Yes$19 @ 63.0¢
• Will Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?Won
  No$28 @ 78.9¢
• Will Trump say "Rich country" or "Richest country" during Saudi PM events on November 18?Won
  No$35 @ 41.1¢
• Will Trump say "Ship" or "Submarine" during Malaysia events on October 26?Won
  No$23 @ 60.0¢
• Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Won
  No$20 @ 40.0¢
• Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?Lost
  No$28 @ 37.0¢
• Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Lost
  No$5 @ 38.0¢
• Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the America Business Forum on November 5?Lost
  No$4 @ 13.0¢
• Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?Won
  No$16 @ 62.0¢
• Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?Won
  No$26 @ 47.3¢
• Will Trump say "Hottest" during Malaysia events on October 26?Lost
  No$12 @ 41.0¢
• Will anyone say "LGBTQ" or "Transgender" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?Won
  No$9 @ 47.0¢
• Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 6.3¢
• Will Trump say "Radical Left" 2+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Won
  No$12 @ 41.0¢
• Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?Lost
  No$1 @ 3.9¢
• Will Trump say "Poland" during Hungary PM events on November 7?Won
  No$18 @ 48.0¢
• Will Uber say "Lyft" during earnings call?Won
  No$17 @ 86.0¢
• Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$100 @ 56.4¢
• Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?Won
  No$31 @ 76.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 30-39 tweets on September 15, 2025?Won
  Yes$7 @ 28.0¢
• Will Trump say "Easiest" during Hungary PM events on November 7?Won
  No$12 @ 43.1¢
• Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Won
  Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
• Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Lost
  No$1 @ 2.7¢
• Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Won
  No$63 @ 51.4¢
• Will Powell say "Stagflation" during October press conference?Won
  No$18 @ 70.0¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?Won
  No$19 @ 38.0¢
• Will Trump say "MAHA" or "Make America Healthy Again" during Ohio visit?Won
  No$36 @ 54.6¢
• Will The Bear be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
• Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?Won
  No$29 @ 37.0¢
• Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?Won
  No$45 @ 64.6¢
• Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?Lost
  No$44 @ 56.3¢
• Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?Won
  No$21 @ 30.0¢
• Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Won
  Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
• Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Lost
  No$82 @ 65.3¢
• Will anyone say "Immigrant" or "Migrant" 10+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?Won
  No$11 @ 55.0¢
• Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?Won
  No$6 @ 89.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 71.0¢