0x6d8c…99f6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6d8cf07d7e764807bdd97dcf11adef38f73699f6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-10.3pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

35% @ 45.0¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

124

Avg size

$728

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	45% (21/47)	+15%	47
Other	27% (9/33)	-50%	33
Politics	22% (2/9)	-93%	9
Crypto	25% (1/4)	-45%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Sports47 bets
Hit rate
45% (21/47)
ROI
+15%
Other33 bets
Hit rate
27% (9/33)
ROI
-50%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
22% (2/9)
ROI
-93%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-45%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

35% hit · 33/95

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	$53	19.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$808	65.8¢	Won
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Thunder	$10	56.0¢	Lost
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Uzbekistan	$102	32.0¢	Lost
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	$8	11.4¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$52	3.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$49.9k	88.4¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	8.6¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$500	35.0¢	Lost
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	$102	32.0¢	Lost
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$202	64.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	5.3¢	Lost
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	$103	8.8¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$50	86.3¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	Morocco	$576	66.0¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Côte dIvoire	$304	60.0¢	Won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Algeria	$505	64.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5	Under	$101	80.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	$50	26.0¢	Lost
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)	Ecuador	$508	44.0¢	Lost
Spread: Jordan (-1.5)	Jordan	$205	13.0¢	Lost
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	$31	7.0¢	Lost
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5	Under	$406	47.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$50	75.3¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$10	23.7¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$102	20.0¢	Lost
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Haiti	$684	48.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$200	55.6¢	Lost
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzic	Antonia Ruzic	$100	32.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	$11	9.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	$233	48.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	No	$50	9.0¢	Lost
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Austria	$506	63.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	$304	61.0¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$397	37.0¢	Lost
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Brentford FC	$202	70.0¢	Won
Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?	Yes	$102	30.0¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5	Over	$304	60.0¢	Won
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	DR Congo	$606	64.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?	Yes	$206	56.3¢	Lost
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	$60	68.0¢	Lost
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Under	$203	52.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	16.3¢	Won
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Bosnia and Herzegovina	$606	64.0¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$508	47.0¢	Lost
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	DR Congo	$1.0k	49.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$300	48.0¢	Lost
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$2.2k	82.6¢	Lost
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$102	22.0¢	Lost
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Magic	$100	44.9¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Lost
Yes$53 @ 19.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$808 @ 65.8¢
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Lost
Thunder$10 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Lost
Uzbekistan$102 @ 32.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Lost
No$8 @ 11.4¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$52 @ 3.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$49.9k @ 88.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 8.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$500 @ 35.0¢
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 32.0¢
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$202 @ 64.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 5.3¢
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?Lost
Yes$103 @ 8.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$50 @ 86.3¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
Morocco$576 @ 66.0¢
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Won
Côte dIvoire$304 @ 60.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Lost
Algeria$505 @ 64.0¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Won
Under$101 @ 80.0¢
Madrid Open: Ignacio Buse vs Adrian MannarinoLost
Adrian Mannarino$50 @ 26.0¢
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Lost
Ecuador$508 @ 44.0¢
Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Lost
Jordan$205 @ 13.0¢
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$31 @ 7.0¢
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$406 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$50 @ 75.3¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$10 @ 23.7¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$102 @ 20.0¢
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Lost
Haiti$684 @ 48.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$200 @ 55.6¢
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia RuzicLost
Antonia Ruzic$100 @ 32.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?Lost
Yes$11 @ 9.0¢
Rockets vs. LakersLost
Rockets$233 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Lost
No$50 @ 9.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Lost
Austria$506 @ 63.0¢
Cavaliers vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$304 @ 61.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?Lost
Yes$397 @ 37.0¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Won
Brentford FC$202 @ 70.0¢
Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 30.0¢
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Won
Over$304 @ 60.0¢
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Won
DR Congo$606 @ 64.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Lost
Yes$206 @ 56.3¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?Lost
Yes$60 @ 68.0¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$203 @ 52.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$103 @ 16.3¢
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Lost
Bosnia and Herzegovina$606 @ 64.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Lost
Yes$508 @ 47.0¢
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Won
DR Congo$1.0k @ 49.0¢
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersLost
Trail Blazers$300 @ 48.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
No$2.2k @ 82.6¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Lost
Yes$102 @ 22.0¢
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Lost
Magic$100 @ 44.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Politics	No	$2.1k	92.1¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$1.5k	95.1¢
US x China Military clash before 2027?	Politics	No	$800	92.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	No	$500	22.0¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$300	95.0¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$208	24.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$160	98.2¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$50	12.0¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$40	3.8¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$10	73.0¢

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics
No$2.1k @ 92.1¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$1.5k @ 95.1¢
US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics
No$800 @ 92.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
No$500 @ 22.0¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$300 @ 95.0¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$208 @ 24.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$160 @ 98.2¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics
Yes$50 @ 12.0¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Politics
Yes$40 @ 3.8¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 73.0¢