0x6d48…577a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6d488577aad484617820f72cbb96433e16cb577a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+35.2pp

ROI

+91%

Win rate

77% @ 41.7¢

Brier

0.278

Resolved

Avg size

$204

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (6/14)	+92%	14
Politics	100% (2/2)	+73%	2

Other14 bets
Hit rate
43% (6/14)
ROI
+92%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+73%

Track record

50% hit · 8/16

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$100	53.5¢	Won
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	No	$2	30.0¢	Lost
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?	No	$99	41.0¢	Lost
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?	Yes	$20	9.0¢	Won
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	No	$40	35.0¢	Won
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$10	0.7¢	Lost
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$101	50.2¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$479	58.9¢	Won
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?	Yes	$100	37.4¢	Lost
Will George Simion win by over 18%?	No	$200	87.0¢	Won
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	Yes	$1	46.0¢	Lost
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$2.3k	44.3¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$999	49.8¢	Won
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	$77	2.4¢	Lost
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$110	27.1¢	Lost
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	$3.4k	51.7¢	Won

Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Won
Yes$100 @ 53.5¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Lost
No$2 @ 30.0¢
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Lost
No$99 @ 41.0¢
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Won
Yes$20 @ 9.0¢
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Won
No$40 @ 35.0¢
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.7¢
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Lost
Yes$101 @ 50.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$479 @ 58.9¢
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?Lost
Yes$100 @ 37.4¢
Will George Simion win by over 18%?Won
No$200 @ 87.0¢
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Lost
Yes$1 @ 46.0¢
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 44.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$999 @ 49.8¢
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Lost
Yes$77 @ 2.4¢
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?Lost
Yes$110 @ 27.1¢
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Won
Yes$3.4k @ 51.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$638	64.9¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$638 @ 64.9¢