0x6cff…45ac

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6cffe15b87a42bd7c0a0b95790aba11cf99b45ac
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.5pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

27% @ 19.4¢

Brier

0.144

Resolved

1018

Avg size

$39

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	25% (19/77)	-9%	77
Sports	29% (19/65)	+17%	65
Politics	17% (1/6)	-68%	6
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+203%	1

Other77 bets
Hit rate
25% (19/77)
ROI
-9%
Sports65 bets
Hit rate
29% (19/65)
ROI
+17%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-68%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+203%

Track record

27% hit · 40/150

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	$753	70.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 16?	Yes	$5	0.9¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.4k	1.6¢	Lost
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$644	73.0¢	Lost
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$11	1.7¢	Lost
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	0.6¢	Lost
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	61.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on March 16?	Yes	$6	3.7¢	Lost
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$126	7.1¢	Lost
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$18	5.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 6?	Yes	$17	6.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on March 16?	Yes	$9	7.5¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$155	50.9¢	Lost
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga	Joshua	$180	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 15?	Yes	$18	24.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	No	$33	6.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 9?	Yes	$5	4.1¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$149	4.9¢	Lost
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$657	6.3¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	$282	47.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?	Yes	$189	63.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 17?	Yes	$44	22.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	No	$26	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 15?	Yes	$18	14.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 25?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$198	48.6¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	$61	61.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$28	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?	Yes	$13	17.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$113	1.1¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$500	82.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$203	8.1¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$120	0.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?	No	$269	13.0¢	Lost
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$37	5.4¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	No	$62	78.0¢	Lost
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$14	4.5¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$256	46.0¢	Lost
Will Juan Ayuso win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	$8	0.1¢	Lost
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	$42	16.9¢	Won
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$92	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on March 8?	Yes	$3	1.6¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	$128	51.1¢	Won
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$2.2k	6.1¢	Lost
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$20	8.1¢	Lost
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$106	0.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?	Yes	$18	7.0¢	Lost
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.3k	27.4¢	Won

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Won
No$753 @ 70.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 16?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 1.6¢
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$644 @ 73.0¢
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.7¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.6¢
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 61.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on March 16?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.7¢
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$126 @ 7.1¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
Yes$18 @ 5.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 6?Lost
Yes$17 @ 6.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on March 16?Lost
Yes$9 @ 7.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$155 @ 50.9¢
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian PrengaWon
Joshua$180 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 15?Lost
Yes$18 @ 24.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Lost
No$33 @ 6.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 9?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.1¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$149 @ 4.9¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$657 @ 6.3¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
No$282 @ 47.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?Won
Yes$189 @ 63.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 17?Lost
Yes$44 @ 22.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Lost
No$26 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 15?Lost
Yes$18 @ 14.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$198 @ 48.6¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Lost
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$28 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?Lost
Yes$13 @ 17.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$113 @ 1.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$500 @ 82.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$203 @ 8.1¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$120 @ 0.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?Lost
No$269 @ 13.0¢
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$37 @ 5.4¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Lost
No$62 @ 78.0¢
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$14 @ 4.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$256 @ 46.0¢
Will Juan Ayuso win the 2026 Tour De France?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.1¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Won
Yes$42 @ 16.9¢
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$92 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on March 8?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.6¢
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
Yes$128 @ 51.1¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 6.1¢
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$20 @ 8.1¢
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$106 @ 0.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?Lost
Yes$18 @ 7.0¢
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.3k @ 27.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?	Crypto	No	$869	89.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Crypto	No	$663	73.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	Crypto	No	$661	93.0¢
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Culture	Yes	$531	26.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?	Crypto	No	$387	77.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	Crypto	No	$359	51.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Crypto	No	$275	55.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	Crypto	No	$256	85.4¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$231	9.2¢
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Sports	Yes	$223	63.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Other	No	$217	68.1¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$138	0.9¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$130	2.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$120	8.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$80	8.0¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$74	2.3¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$55	4.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$55	11.0¢
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	Sports	No	$52	79.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$52	12.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Other	Yes	$45	9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25?	Science	No	$43	48.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Other	Yes	$39	7.8¢
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Culture	Yes	$35	15.3¢
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Culture	Yes	$34	0.7¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$33	8.8¢
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$24	1.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	Crypto	No	$14	89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 25?	Science	Yes	$14	12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$12	12.0¢

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?Crypto
No$869 @ 89.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Crypto
No$663 @ 73.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?Crypto
No$661 @ 93.0¢
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture
Yes$531 @ 26.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?Crypto
No$387 @ 77.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?Crypto
No$359 @ 51.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Crypto
No$275 @ 55.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?Crypto
No$256 @ 85.4¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$231 @ 9.2¢
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Sports
Yes$223 @ 63.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Other
No$217 @ 68.1¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$138 @ 0.9¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$130 @ 2.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$120 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?Crypto
Yes$80 @ 8.0¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$74 @ 2.3¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$55 @ 4.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?Crypto
Yes$55 @ 11.0¢
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?Sports
No$52 @ 79.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Crypto
Yes$52 @ 12.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Other
Yes$45 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25?Science
No$43 @ 48.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?Other
Yes$39 @ 7.8¢
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture
Yes$35 @ 15.3¢
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Culture
Yes$34 @ 0.7¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$33 @ 8.8¢
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
Yes$24 @ 1.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?Crypto
No$14 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 25?Science
Yes$14 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27?Science
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢