0x6cf9…cffd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6cf9036f20ef749ae5236f662f2557ccab92cffd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-6.8pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

41% @ 47.9¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

263

Avg size

$450

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (65/142)	+13%	142
Politics	75% (3/4)	-1%	4
Tech	100% (2/2)	+19%	2
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other142 bets
Hit rate
46% (65/142)
ROI
+13%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
-1%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+19%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 70/149

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?	Yes	$270	20.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$1.2k	74.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $275 in November?	No	$999	61.3¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on June 17?	No	$2.1k	80.0¢	Won
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?	Yes	$1000	57.8¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 25?	No	$1.1k	75.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 25?	Yes	$162	47.0¢	Won
Will Solana hit $210 in December?	No	$500	29.0¢	Lost
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Chiefs	$1.0k	50.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?	Yes	$95	6.8¢	Lost
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?	Yes	$1.0k	64.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?	Yes	$48	4.8¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?	Yes	$132	2.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 27?	No	$332	83.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	No	$2.9k	89.7¢	Won
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$401	80.0¢	Won
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?	Yes	$558	76.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?	No	$976	64.2¢	Lost
Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?	No	$428	38.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?	Yes	$138	3.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?	Yes	$1.0k	30.4¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$893	67.0¢	Won
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February?	Yes	$250	51.1¢	Won
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?	No	$125	31.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?	Yes	$115	3.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 27?	No	$627	89.0¢	Lost
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	$292	46.2¢	Lost
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?	Yes	$300	10.0¢	Lost
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January?	No	$328	80.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?	Yes	$15	2.0¢	Lost
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?	Yes	$128	44.2¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?	Yes	$32	3.5¢	Lost
Will ETH dip below $2,000 by end of Jan?	No	$700	86.4¢	Won
Israel military response against Iran in October?	Yes	$553	70.4¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$75	87.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?	Yes	$249	41.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?	Yes	$79	7.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "ninth month" during all female town hall?	No	$198	39.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Melania" during all female town hall?	Yes	$320	53.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20?	No	$1.3k	88.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $89000 on Apr 25?	Yes	$747	83.0¢	Won
Biden drops out of presidential race?	Yes	$4.5k	84.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?	Yes	$8	3.0¢	Lost
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$451	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?	Yes	$61	2.8¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$111	22.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Georgia rally on October 23?	No	$195	60.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 20?	No	$270	87.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$8.3k	49.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?	Yes	$103	0.8¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Lost
Yes$270 @ 20.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$1.2k @ 74.0¢
Will Solana reach $275 in November?Won
No$999 @ 61.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on June 17?Won
No$2.1k @ 80.0¢
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?Won
Yes$1000 @ 57.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 25?Lost
No$1.1k @ 75.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 25?Won
Yes$162 @ 47.0¢
Will Solana hit $210 in December?Lost
No$500 @ 29.0¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerLost
Chiefs$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?Lost
Yes$95 @ 6.8¢
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 64.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?Lost
Yes$48 @ 4.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?Lost
Yes$132 @ 2.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 27?Won
No$332 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Won
No$2.9k @ 89.7¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$401 @ 80.0¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Won
Yes$558 @ 76.9¢
Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?Lost
No$976 @ 64.2¢
Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?Lost
No$428 @ 38.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?Lost
Yes$138 @ 3.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 30.4¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$893 @ 67.0¢
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February?Won
Yes$250 @ 51.1¢
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?Lost
No$125 @ 31.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?Lost
Yes$115 @ 3.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 27?Lost
No$627 @ 89.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Lost
Yes$292 @ 46.2¢
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?Lost
Yes$300 @ 10.0¢
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January?Won
No$328 @ 80.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?Lost
Yes$15 @ 2.0¢
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?Lost
Yes$128 @ 44.2¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?Lost
Yes$32 @ 3.5¢
Will ETH dip below $2,000 by end of Jan?Won
No$700 @ 86.4¢
Israel military response against Iran in October?Won
Yes$553 @ 70.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
No$75 @ 87.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?Won
Yes$249 @ 41.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?Lost
Yes$79 @ 7.0¢
Will Trump say "ninth month" during all female town hall?Won
No$198 @ 39.5¢
Will Trump say "Melania" during all female town hall?Lost
Yes$320 @ 53.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20?Won
No$1.3k @ 88.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $89000 on Apr 25?Won
Yes$747 @ 83.0¢
Biden drops out of presidential race?Won
Yes$4.5k @ 84.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.0¢
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$451 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?Lost
Yes$61 @ 2.8¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
No$111 @ 22.8¢
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Georgia rally on October 23?Won
No$195 @ 60.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 20?Won
No$270 @ 87.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$8.3k @ 49.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?Lost
Yes$103 @ 0.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1.9k	70.5¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Politics	No	$1.5k	86.0¢
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	61.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$834	81.3¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$644	79.2¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Tech	No	$357	85.5¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Crypto	Yes	$349	67.2¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	No	$313	83.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$306	46.9¢

Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$1.9k @ 70.5¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics
No$1.5k @ 86.0¢
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 61.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
Yes$834 @ 81.3¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
No$644 @ 79.2¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech
No$357 @ 85.5¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
Yes$349 @ 67.2¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
No$313 @ 83.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
Yes$306 @ 46.9¢