← Smart money
0x6c7d…d6eb
SharpEdge
+3.3pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
16% @ 12.8¢
Brier
0.076
Resolved
4793
Avg size
$9
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 26% (103/398) | +22% | 398 |
| Sports | 30% (13/43) | +20% | 43 |
| Culture | 18% (3/17) | +138% | 17 |
| Tech | 46% (6/13) | -2% | 13 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -34% | 2 |
- Other398 bets
- Hit rate
- 26% (103/398)
- ROI
- +22%
- Sports43 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (13/43)
- ROI
- +20%
- Culture17 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (3/17)
- ROI
- +138%
- Tech13 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (6/13)
- ROI
- -2%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -34%
Track record
27% hit · 126/473- JD Gaming$4 @ 38.0¢
- No$54 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$9 @ 64.0¢
- No$127 @ 60.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 1.6¢
- No$1.6k @ 21.1¢
- No$113 @ 25.8¢
- Yes$53 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$13 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 58.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 51.2¢
- Yes$228 @ 13.3¢
- Switzerland$2 @ 17.5¢
- Yes$185 @ 85.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
- G2 Esports$7 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$93 @ 11.6¢
- Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)LostYes$113 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 12.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 17.4¢
- No$342 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$266 @ 26.6¢
- Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?LostYes$132 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Will "No Other Choice" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?WonNo$96 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$24 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.2¢
- Natus Vincere$13 @ 65.0¢
- No$543 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
- No$13 @ 76.0¢
- No$53 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
- No$2 @ 1.0¢
- No$6 @ 6.0¢
- No$25 @ 5.0¢
- No$81 @ 3.6¢
- No$94 @ 47.0¢
- No$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$78 @ 3.3¢
- No$45 @ 80.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$2.6k @ 86.6¢
- No$1.3k @ 94.2¢
- No$1.3k @ 32.2¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 88.6¢
- No$868 @ 83.5¢
- No$476 @ 86.2¢
- No$284 @ 98.0¢
- No$230 @ 87.8¢
- No$230 @ 78.5¢
- No$177 @ 91.0¢
- No$171 @ 28.5¢
- Yes$154 @ 87.4¢
- Yes$130 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$116 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$115 @ 3.0¢
- No$113 @ 46.9¢
- Yes$111 @ 14.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
- No$92 @ 92.9¢
- Yes$91 @ 10.1¢
- No$90 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 77.0¢
- No$79 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$77 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$60 @ 11.8¢
- No$49 @ 24.6¢
- No$46 @ 92.0¢
- No$45 @ 89.0¢
- No$42 @ 38.4¢
- No$42 @ 86.5¢