0x6c74…bd4e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6c743aafd813475986dcd930f380a1f50901bd4e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-7.8pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

37% @ 45.2¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

6511

Avg size

$834

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (213/431)	+11%	431
Sports	48% (16/33)	-100%	33

Other431 bets
Hit rate
49% (213/431)
ROI
+11%
Sports33 bets
Hit rate
48% (16/33)
ROI
-100%

Track record

49% hit · 229/464

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	$699.9k	64.0¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?	No	$6	44.0¢	Won
Rams vs. Seahawks	Rams	$20.0k	45.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?	Yes	$10.0k	79.0¢	Won
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?	No	$10.0k	52.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$25.2k	68.0¢	Lost
49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	$380	59.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Jazz	Jazz	$2.7k	18.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	$13.2k	41.0¢	Won
76ers vs. Raptors	Raptors	$1.0k	47.1¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	$200.8k	60.5¢	Won
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)	49ers	$102	49.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?	No	$270	60.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?	No	$10.0k	30.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?	No	$920	23.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5	Under	$30.5k	50.8¢	Lost
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?	No	$10.0k	59.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?	No	$10.0k	48.0¢	Lost
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?	No	$530	53.0¢	Won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	West Ham United FC	$3.0k	75.0¢	Lost
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?	Yes	$3.0k	43.0¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	$17.1k	61.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$30.0k	59.0¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$9.5k	57.0¢	Won
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$1.8k	59.0¢	Won
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	$20.3k	74.9¢	Won
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?	Yes	$21.8k	68.0¢	Won
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$1.0k	25.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$10.1k	66.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win on 2025-11-18?	Yes	$2.2k	80.0¢	Won
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?	No	$10.0k	72.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?	Yes	$2.0k	54.0¢	Won
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?	Yes	$901	53.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?	No	$35.0k	56.0¢	Won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)	Timberwolves	$135	56.0¢	Lost
FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 2.5	Over	$2.0k	66.0¢	Lost
Magic vs. Thunder	Magic	$39.0k	26.0¢	Lost
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	Under	$1.8k	57.0¢	Won
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?	No	$10.0k	65.0¢	Won
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Under	$9.9k	63.9¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	$100.2k	86.1¢	Won
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?	Yes	$1.0k	52.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$12.0k	53.0¢	Won
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?	No	$620	62.0¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	$2.5k	56.0¢	Won
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?	Yes	$4.0k	40.0¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$41.7k	68.0¢	Won
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?	No	$3.0k	33.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?	Yes	$15.0k	59.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?	No	$3.5k	30.0¢	Lost

Knicks vs. SpursLost
Spurs$699.9k @ 64.0¢
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Won
No$6 @ 44.0¢
Rams vs. SeahawksLost
Rams$20.0k @ 45.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?Won
Yes$10.0k @ 79.0¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?Lost
No$10.0k @ 52.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Lost
Yes$25.2k @ 68.0¢
49ers vs. FalconsLost
49ers$380 @ 59.0¢
Thunder vs. JazzLost
Jazz$2.7k @ 18.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Won
No$13.2k @ 41.0¢
76ers vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$1.0k @ 47.1¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Won
Yes$200.8k @ 60.5¢
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)Lost
49ers$102 @ 49.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?Won
No$270 @ 60.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Lost
No$10.0k @ 30.0¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?Lost
No$920 @ 23.0¢
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5Lost
Under$30.5k @ 50.8¢
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?Won
No$10.0k @ 59.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?Lost
No$10.0k @ 48.0¢
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?Won
No$530 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Lost
West Ham United FC$3.0k @ 75.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 43.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Won
Yes$17.1k @ 61.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
No$30.0k @ 59.0¢
Grizzlies vs. PelicansWon
Pelicans$9.5k @ 57.0¢
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$1.8k @ 59.0¢
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Won
Under$20.3k @ 74.9¢
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?Won
Yes$21.8k @ 68.0¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
No$1.0k @ 25.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$10.1k @ 66.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2025-11-18?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 80.0¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?Won
No$10.0k @ 72.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 54.0¢
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?Lost
Yes$901 @ 53.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?Won
No$35.0k @ 56.0¢
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Lost
Timberwolves$135 @ 56.0¢
FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$2.0k @ 66.0¢
Magic vs. ThunderLost
Magic$39.0k @ 26.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Won
Under$1.8k @ 57.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?Won
No$10.0k @ 65.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Won
Under$9.9k @ 63.9¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?Won
Yes$100.2k @ 86.1¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 52.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$12.0k @ 53.0¢
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?Lost
No$620 @ 62.0¢
Nuggets vs. PelicansWon
Nuggets$2.5k @ 56.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?Lost
Yes$4.0k @ 40.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
Seahawks$41.7k @ 68.0¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?Lost
No$3.0k @ 33.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?Won
Yes$15.0k @ 59.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?Lost
No$3.5k @ 30.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Knicks vs. Spurs	Sports	Spurs	$699.9k	64.0¢

Knicks vs. SpursSports
Spurs$699.9k @ 64.0¢