← Smart money
0x6c67…a67a
SharpEdge
+26.6pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
100% @ 73.4¢
Brier
0.085
Resolved
53
Avg size
$77
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% (4/4) | +41% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (3/3) | +24% | 3 |
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +41%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +24%
Track record
100% hit · 7/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | Yes | $1.6k | 70.6¢ | Won |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026? | No | $129 | 85.1¢ | Won |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 9, 2026? | Yes | $38 | 80.0¢ | Won |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | $1.3k | 82.2¢ | Won |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026? | No | $350 | 82.8¢ | Won |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? | No | $156 | 68.2¢ | Won |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026? | Yes | $557 | 65.4¢ | Won |
- Yes$1.6k @ 70.6¢
- No$129 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$38 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 82.2¢
- No$350 @ 82.8¢
- No$156 @ 68.2¢
- Yes$557 @ 65.4¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Tech | Yes | $1.9k | 76.8¢ |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Tech | No | $420 | 79.1¢ |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? | Tech | No | $238 | 56.5¢ |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? | Tech | No | $85 | 65.1¢ |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 8, 2026? | Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ |
- Yes$1.9k @ 76.8¢
- No$420 @ 79.1¢
- No$238 @ 56.5¢
- No$85 @ 65.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢